Official Météo-France observations at Paris-Le Bourget Airport, the market's resolution source, confirm the highest temperature reached 14°C today amid persistent low stratus clouds, light drizzle, and a cool northerly airflow suppressing daytime heating. This aligns precisely with the latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles, which forecasted subdued highs below 15°C due to the unstable boundary layer and high cloud opacity limiting solar insolation. Compared to Paris's climatological May average of 18–19°C, the anomaly reflects a broader pattern of cool, grey weather across Île-de-France this week. With sunset approaching and no clearing indicated in radar or satellite imagery, upward revisions to 15°C or higher are improbable barring anomalous data corrections from quality-controlled records.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Paris on May 6?
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$171,946 交易量
$171,946 交易量
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$171,946 交易量
$171,946 交易量
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 4, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official Météo-France observations at Paris-Le Bourget Airport, the market's resolution source, confirm the highest temperature reached 14°C today amid persistent low stratus clouds, light drizzle, and a cool northerly airflow suppressing daytime heating. This aligns precisely with the latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles, which forecasted subdued highs below 15°C due to the unstable boundary layer and high cloud opacity limiting solar insolation. Compared to Paris's climatological May average of 18–19°C, the anomaly reflects a broader pattern of cool, grey weather across Île-de-France this week. With sunset approaching and no clearing indicated in radar or satellite imagery, upward revisions to 15°C or higher are improbable barring anomalous data corrections from quality-controlled records.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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