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icon for Most popular girl name 2025

Most popular girl name 2025

icon for Most popular girl name 2025

Most popular girl name 2025

Olivia 100.0%

Emma <1%

Amelia <1%

Charlotte <1%

Polymarket

$343,248 Vol.

Olivia 100.0%

Emma <1%

Amelia <1%

Charlotte <1%

Polymarket

$343,248 Vol.

Olivia

$211,023 Vol.

Yes

Emma

$13,882 Vol.

No

Amelia

$22,193 Vol.

No

Charlotte

$12,114 Vol.

No

Mia

$18,131 Vol.

No

Sophia

$13,564 Vol.

No

Isabella

$14,004 Vol.

No

Evelyn

$12,232 Vol.

No

Ava

$12,222 Vol.

No

Sofia

$13,882 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the female name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Female name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”Olivia's commanding 100% implied probability in the most popular girl name for 2025 market reflects the U.S. Social Security Administration's official release today, May 8, 2026, confirming it as the top name for baby girls born that year—for the seventh consecutive year. This enduring frontrunner status stems from its timeless appeal amid stable cultural naming trends, outpacing challengers like Charlotte, Emma, and Amelia, which trail in the top five per SSA data. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, solidifies around this verified outcome, leaving negligible room for upsets absent data revisions or disputes, which are unprecedented in SSA announcements. With resolution imminent, positions align with this decade-defining dominance.

This market will resolve according to the female name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/.

The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Female name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025.

This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Volume
$343,248
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Market Opened
Oct 27, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the female name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Female name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve according to the female name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Female name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”Olivia's commanding 100% implied probability in the most popular girl name for 2025 market reflects the U.S. Social Security Administration's official release today, May 8, 2026, confirming it as the top name for baby girls born that year—for the seventh consecutive year. This enduring frontrunner status stems from its timeless appeal amid stable cultural naming trends, outpacing challengers like Charlotte, Emma, and Amelia, which trail in the top five per SSA data. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, solidifies around this verified outcome, leaving negligible room for upsets absent data revisions or disputes, which are unprecedented in SSA announcements. With resolution imminent, positions align with this decade-defining dominance.

This market will resolve according to the female name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/.

The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Female name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025.

This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Volume
$343,248
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Market Opened
Oct 27, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the female name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Female name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Most popular girl name 2025" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Olivia" at 100%, followed by "Emma" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Most popular girl name 2025" has generated $343.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 27, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Most popular girl name 2025," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Most popular girl name 2025" is "Olivia" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Emma" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Most popular girl name 2025" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.