Olivia's commanding 100% implied probability in the most popular girl name for 2025 market reflects the U.S. Social Security Administration's official release today, May 8, 2026, confirming it as the top name for baby girls born that year—for the seventh consecutive year. This enduring frontrunner status stems from its timeless appeal amid stable cultural naming trends, outpacing challengers like Charlotte, Emma, and Amelia, which trail in the top five per SSA data. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, solidifies around this verified outcome, leaving negligible room for upsets absent data revisions or disputes, which are unprecedented in SSA announcements. With resolution imminent, positions align with this decade-defining dominance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMost popular girl name 2025
Olivia 100.0%
Emma <1%
Amelia <1%
Charlotte <1%
$343,248 Vol.
$343,248 Vol.
Olivia
Yes
Emma
No
Amelia
No
Charlotte
No
Mia
No
Sophia
No
Isabella
No
Evelyn
No
Ava
No
Sofia
No
Olivia 100.0%
Emma <1%
Amelia <1%
Charlotte <1%
$343,248 Vol.
$343,248 Vol.
Olivia
Yes
Emma
No
Amelia
No
Charlotte
No
Mia
No
Sophia
No
Isabella
No
Evelyn
No
Ava
No
Sofia
No
The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Female name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025.
This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Market Opened: Oct 27, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Female name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025.
This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Olivia's commanding 100% implied probability in the most popular girl name for 2025 market reflects the U.S. Social Security Administration's official release today, May 8, 2026, confirming it as the top name for baby girls born that year—for the seventh consecutive year. This enduring frontrunner status stems from its timeless appeal amid stable cultural naming trends, outpacing challengers like Charlotte, Emma, and Amelia, which trail in the top five per SSA data. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, solidifies around this verified outcome, leaving negligible room for upsets absent data revisions or disputes, which are unprecedented in SSA announcements. With resolution imminent, positions align with this decade-defining dominance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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