San Diego State enters its first Pac-12 season under third-year head coach Sean Lewis coming off a 9-4 campaign and 6-2 Mountain West finish that featured a stout defense and efficient, run-heavy offense. Returning quarterback Jayden Denegal, fully healthy after offseason shoulder surgery, anchors an experienced offense alongside standout running back Lucky Sutton and a deep backfield, while wide receiver depth and offensive line transfers provide additional support. The defense faces significant turnover, including a new coordinator in Demetrius Sumler and multiple new starters across the line and secondary after losing key contributors to the portal and graduation. The schedule mixes winnable home games against Portland State, James Madison, Texas State, Fresno State, Washington State, and Utah State with road tests at UCLA, Toledo, Oregon State, Colorado State, and Boise State plus a late flex matchup, creating a projected range clustered around six to seven wins that reflects both the program’s recent momentum and the step up in conference competition.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated5.5+ Wins
70%
6.5+ Wins
56%
7.5+ Wins
39%
8.5+ Wins
19%
9.5+ Wins
18%
$5,039 Vol.
5.5+ Wins
70%
6.5+ Wins
56%
7.5+ Wins
39%
8.5+ Wins
19%
9.5+ Wins
18%
Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.
If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.
If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.
If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.
If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...San Diego State enters its first Pac-12 season under third-year head coach Sean Lewis coming off a 9-4 campaign and 6-2 Mountain West finish that featured a stout defense and efficient, run-heavy offense. Returning quarterback Jayden Denegal, fully healthy after offseason shoulder surgery, anchors an experienced offense alongside standout running back Lucky Sutton and a deep backfield, while wide receiver depth and offensive line transfers provide additional support. The defense faces significant turnover, including a new coordinator in Demetrius Sumler and multiple new starters across the line and secondary after losing key contributors to the portal and graduation. The schedule mixes winnable home games against Portland State, James Madison, Texas State, Fresno State, Washington State, and Utah State with road tests at UCLA, Toledo, Oregon State, Colorado State, and Boise State plus a late flex matchup, creating a projected range clustered around six to seven wins that reflects both the program’s recent momentum and the step up in conference competition.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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