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Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

No Bond chosen 68%

Callum Turner 10.6%

Jacob Elordi 3.1%

Henry Cavill 1.7%

Polymarket

$2,017,696 Vol.

No Bond chosen 68%

Callum Turner 10.6%

Jacob Elordi 3.1%

Henry Cavill 1.7%

Polymarket

$2,017,696 Vol.

icon for No Bond chosen

No Bond chosen

$254,899 Vol.

68%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$126,017 Vol.

11%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$237,404 Vol.

3%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$297,069 Vol.

2%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$100,399 Vol.

1%

icon for James Norton

James Norton

$114,043 Vol.

1%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$149,370 Vol.

1%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$219,319 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jack Lowdon

Jack Lowdon

$83,609 Vol.

<1%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$33,181 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Hardy

Tom Hardy

$78,247 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$70,857 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$182,494 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$34,879 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$35,909 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at 67.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' deliberate, unhurried casting process for Bond 26, with studio heads publicly urging patience as recently as April 16 amid production delays targeting a 2028 release. No official announcement has materialized despite months of speculation, reinforcing trader skepticism on near-term resolution. Callum Turner leads actor contenders at 10.6% on persistent rumors fueled by betting market shifts and his rising profile in prestige fare like The Boys in the Boat, though he demurred on queries at February's Berlin Film Festival. Jacob Elordi's 3.1% reflects buzz from Saltburn momentum, but fragmented field and historical Bond secrecy keep uncertainty high ahead of potential guild or test-screening leaks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,017,696
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No Bond chosen" at 67.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' deliberate, unhurried casting process for Bond 26, with studio heads publicly urging patience as recently as April 16 amid production delays targeting a 2028 release. No official announcement has materialized despite months of speculation, reinforcing trader skepticism on near-term resolution. Callum Turner leads actor contenders at 10.6% on persistent rumors fueled by betting market shifts and his rising profile in prestige fare like The Boys in the Boat, though he demurred on queries at February's Berlin Film Festival. Jacob Elordi's 3.1% reflects buzz from Saltburn momentum, but fragmented field and historical Bond secrecy keep uncertainty high ahead of potential guild or test-screening leaks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,017,696
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next James Bond actor?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "No Bond chosen" at 68%, followed by "Callum Turner" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 68¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next James Bond actor?" has generated $2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next James Bond actor?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next James Bond actor?" is "No Bond chosen" at 68%, meaning the market assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Callum Turner" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next James Bond actor?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.