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Sports·La Liga

Next Real Madrid manager?

icon for Next Real Madrid manager?
Sports·La Liga

Next Real Madrid manager?

Jose Mourinho 32%

Mauricio Pochettino 22.9%

Jurgen Klopp 18%

Unai Emery 12%

Polymarket

$34,041 Vol.

Jose Mourinho 32%

Mauricio Pochettino 22.9%

Jurgen Klopp 18%

Unai Emery 12%

Polymarket

$34,041 Vol.

Jose Mourinho

$4,248 Vol.

32%

Mauricio Pochettino

$654 Vol.

22%

Jurgen Klopp

$10,643 Vol.

17%

Unai Emery

$501 Vol.

12%

Enzo Maresca

$3,303 Vol.

15%

Luis Enrique

$703 Vol.

5%

Zinedine Zidane

$2,231 Vol.

5%

Didier Deschamps

$1,044 Vol.

5%

Massimiliano Allegri

$8,123 Vol.

4%

Oliver Glasner

$325 Vol.

4%

Andoni Iraola

$357 Vol.

3%

Robert De Zerbi

$321 Vol.

<1%

Mikel Arteta

$719 Vol.

<1%

Thomas Tuchel

$281 Vol.

<1%

Julian Nagelsmann

$590 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus favors Álvaro Arbeloa at 49.5% implied probability as Real Madrid's next permanent manager, bolstered by his status as a club legend and dressing room popularity despite the team's Champions League quarterfinal exit and trailing Barcelona by nine points in the La Liga title race. Recent reports from April 24 highlight Jose Mourinho, currently at Benfica, eagerly awaiting a call amid Kylian Mbappé's social media endorsement that spiked his odds to 32%, leveraging his prior Bernabéu success. Mauricio Pochettino at 27.6% gains from Florentino Pérez's admiration and shortlist inclusion post-UCL disappointment around April 17, while Jürgen Klopp's 14% reflects ongoing soundings for proven winners amid Arbeloa's interim tenure since January. Enzo Maresca and Unai Emery trail on stylistic fit and availability.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid.

If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$34,041
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus favors Álvaro Arbeloa at 49.5% implied probability as Real Madrid's next permanent manager, bolstered by his status as a club legend and dressing room popularity despite the team's Champions League quarterfinal exit and trailing Barcelona by nine points in the La Liga title race. Recent reports from April 24 highlight Jose Mourinho, currently at Benfica, eagerly awaiting a call amid Kylian Mbappé's social media endorsement that spiked his odds to 32%, leveraging his prior Bernabéu success. Mauricio Pochettino at 27.6% gains from Florentino Pérez's admiration and shortlist inclusion post-UCL disappointment around April 17, while Jürgen Klopp's 14% reflects ongoing soundings for proven winners amid Arbeloa's interim tenure since January. Enzo Maresca and Unai Emery trail on stylistic fit and availability.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid.

If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$34,041
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Real Madrid manager?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jose Mourinho" at 32%, followed by "Mauricio Pochettino" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 32¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Real Madrid manager?" has generated $34K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Real Madrid manager?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Real Madrid manager?" is "Jose Mourinho" at 32%, meaning the market assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mauricio Pochettino" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Real Madrid manager?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.