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Sports·La Liga

Next Real Madrid manager?

icon for Next Real Madrid manager?
Sports·La Liga

Next Real Madrid manager?

Jose Mourinho 36%

Mauricio Pochettino 16.0%

Unai Emery 12%

Jurgen Klopp 10%

Polymarket

$33,581 Vol.

Jose Mourinho 36%

Mauricio Pochettino 16.0%

Unai Emery 12%

Jurgen Klopp 10%

Polymarket

$33,581 Vol.

Jose Mourinho

$4,234 Vol.

34%

Mauricio Pochettino

$649 Vol.

23%

Unai Emery

$501 Vol.

12%

Jurgen Klopp

$10,316 Vol.

10%

Enzo Maresca

$3,303 Vol.

20%

Luis Enrique

$703 Vol.

5%

Mikel Arteta

$605 Vol.

7%

Zinedine Zidane

$2,231 Vol.

5%

Massimiliano Allegri

$8,123 Vol.

5%

Oliver Glasner

$325 Vol.

5%

Didier Deschamps

$1,044 Vol.

5%

Andoni Iraola

$357 Vol.

3%

Robert De Zerbi

$321 Vol.

<1%

Thomas Tuchel

$281 Vol.

<1%

Julian Nagelsmann

$590 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus favors continuity with current Real Madrid head coach Álvaro Arbeloa at 49.5% implied probability to lead into the 2026/27 La Liga season, bolstered by his club legend status as a former player and recent Castilla success, despite criticism since replacing Xabi Alonso in January after the latter's brief, unsuccessful stint. A Champions League quarterfinal exit to Bayern Munich on April 16 has intensified scrutiny on Arbeloa's defensive vulnerabilities and poor recent form, opening the door for changes. Jose Mourinho has surged to 27.5% on fresh reports of his agent Jorge Mendes pitching a Bernabeu return—leveraging his 2012 La Liga triumph—while expressing openness amid Benfica's strong campaign; Enzo Maresca sits at 22.6% due to Chelsea's upward trajectory under his possession-based style, appealing to Madrid's youth integration needs.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid.

If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$33,581
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus favors continuity with current Real Madrid head coach Álvaro Arbeloa at 49.5% implied probability to lead into the 2026/27 La Liga season, bolstered by his club legend status as a former player and recent Castilla success, despite criticism since replacing Xabi Alonso in January after the latter's brief, unsuccessful stint. A Champions League quarterfinal exit to Bayern Munich on April 16 has intensified scrutiny on Arbeloa's defensive vulnerabilities and poor recent form, opening the door for changes. Jose Mourinho has surged to 27.5% on fresh reports of his agent Jorge Mendes pitching a Bernabeu return—leveraging his 2012 La Liga triumph—while expressing openness amid Benfica's strong campaign; Enzo Maresca sits at 22.6% due to Chelsea's upward trajectory under his possession-based style, appealing to Madrid's youth integration needs.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid.

If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$33,581
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Real Madrid manager?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jose Mourinho" at 34%, followed by "Mauricio Pochettino" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Real Madrid manager?" has generated $33.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Real Madrid manager?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Real Madrid manager?" is "Jose Mourinho" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mauricio Pochettino" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Real Madrid manager?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.