Kylian Mbappé leads the Golden Boot market at 25.5% implied probability after opening his 2026 account with goals for France in the group stage, building on his 2022 triumph and strong club output at Real Madrid. Lionel Messi sits close behind at 21.1% on the strength of Argentina’s attacking depth and his prior tournament pedigree, while Harry Kane holds 19.5% following a record 61-goal club season at Bayern Munich that reinforces his proven international finishing. Erling Haaland and emerging options like Kai Havertz trail further back, reflecting their teams’ paths and variable early returns. With the expanded 48-team format extending run-ins and several elite forwards still in contention, the tight spread among the top three underscores how group-stage results, knockout progression, and minor scoring swings can rapidly shift consensus on who claims the most goals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCoupe du monde : Golden Boot Winner
Kylian Mbappé 100.0%
Lionel Messi <1%
Cristiano Ronaldo <1%
Jude Bellingham <1%
$76,664,218 Vol.
$76,664,218 Vol.
Lionel Messi
Non
Cristiano Ronaldo
Non
Jude Bellingham
Non
Raphinha
Non
Noah Okafor
Non
Scott McTominay
Non
Rodrygo
Non
Deniz Undav
Non
Amad Diallo
Non
Depay Memphis
Non
Erling Haaland
Non
Kylian Mbappé
Oui
Lamine Yamal
Non
Heung-Min Son
Non
Edin Džeko
Non
Vinicius Junior
Non
Igor Thiago
Non
Serge Gnabry
Non
Viktor Gyökeres
Non
Cody Gakpo
Non
Ferran Torres
Non
Marcus Thuram
Non
Ousmane Dembélé
Non
Michael Olise
Non
Luis Diaz
Non
Ivan Perišić
Non
Andrej Kramarić
Non
Mohamed Salah
Non
Dani Olmo
Non
Desire Doue
Non
Bradley Barcola
Non
Sadio Mané
Non
Rafael Leao
Non
Julian Alvarez
Non
Bukayo Saka
Non
Harry Kane
Non
Lautaro Martinez
Non
Bruno Fernandes
Non
Pedri
Non
Luis Javier Suárez
Non
Kai Havertz
Non
Romelu Lukaku
Non
Tim Payne
Non
Donyell Malen
Non
Antoine Semenyo
Non
Mikel Oyarzabal
Non
Federico Valverde
Non
Dion Beljo
Non
Endrick
Non
Folarin Balogun
Non
Florian Wirtz
Non
Memphis Depay
Non
Kylian Mbappé 100.0%
Lionel Messi <1%
Cristiano Ronaldo <1%
Jude Bellingham <1%
$76,664,218 Vol.
$76,664,218 Vol.
Lionel Messi
Non
Cristiano Ronaldo
Non
Jude Bellingham
Non
Raphinha
Non
Noah Okafor
Non
Scott McTominay
Non
Rodrygo
Non
Deniz Undav
Non
Amad Diallo
Non
Depay Memphis
Non
Erling Haaland
Non
Kylian Mbappé
Oui
Lamine Yamal
Non
Heung-Min Son
Non
Edin Džeko
Non
Vinicius Junior
Non
Igor Thiago
Non
Serge Gnabry
Non
Viktor Gyökeres
Non
Cody Gakpo
Non
Ferran Torres
Non
Marcus Thuram
Non
Ousmane Dembélé
Non
Michael Olise
Non
Luis Diaz
Non
Ivan Perišić
Non
Andrej Kramarić
Non
Mohamed Salah
Non
Dani Olmo
Non
Desire Doue
Non
Bradley Barcola
Non
Sadio Mané
Non
Rafael Leao
Non
Julian Alvarez
Non
Bukayo Saka
Non
Harry Kane
Non
Lautaro Martinez
Non
Bruno Fernandes
Non
Pedri
Non
Luis Javier Suárez
Non
Kai Havertz
Non
Romelu Lukaku
Non
Tim Payne
Non
Donyell Malen
Non
Antoine Semenyo
Non
Mikel Oyarzabal
Non
Federico Valverde
Non
Dion Beljo
Non
Endrick
Non
Folarin Balogun
Non
Florian Wirtz
Non
Memphis Depay
Non
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Kylian Mbappé leads the Golden Boot market at 25.5% implied probability after opening his 2026 account with goals for France in the group stage, building on his 2022 triumph and strong club output at Real Madrid. Lionel Messi sits close behind at 21.1% on the strength of Argentina’s attacking depth and his prior tournament pedigree, while Harry Kane holds 19.5% following a record 61-goal club season at Bayern Munich that reinforces his proven international finishing. Erling Haaland and emerging options like Kai Havertz trail further back, reflecting their teams’ paths and variable early returns. With the expanded 48-team format extending run-ins and several elite forwards still in contention, the tight spread among the top three underscores how group-stage results, knockout progression, and minor scoring swings can rapidly shift consensus on who claims the most goals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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