Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify

Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify

icon for Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify

Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify

$25,933 Vol.

Polymarket

$25,933 Vol.

Polymarket

Ben Shelton

$2,737 Vol.

98%

Carlos Alcaraz

$255 Vol.

96%

Flavio Cobolli

$1,266 Vol.

94%

Frances Tiafoe

$269 Vol.

77%

Arthur Fils

$1,481 Vol.

71%

Daniil Medvedev

$1,100 Vol.

42%

Rafael Jodar

$2,944 Vol.

36%

Taylor Fritz

$1,455 Vol.

35%

Felix Auger-Aliassime

$3,006 Vol.

26%

Alex de Minaur

$4,285 Vol.

18%

Jakub Mensik

$80 Vol.

16%

Tommy Paul

$271 Vol.

9%

Novak Djokovic

$675 Vol.

7%

Brandon Nakashima

$260 Vol.

6%

Learner Tien

$120 Vol.

6%

Luciano Darderi

$110 Vol.

5%

Jiri Lehecka

$1,789 Vol.

5%

Ignacio Buse

$84 Vol.

4%

Zizou Bergs

$10 Vol.

4%

Alejandro Tabilo

$110 Vol.

4%

Matteo Arnaldi

$10 Vol.

4%

Raphael Collignon

$10 Vol.

4%

Alexander Blockx

$0 Vol.

4%

Alexander Bublik

$206 Vol.

4%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

$125 Vol.

4%

Valentin Vacherot

$10 Vol.

4%

Lorenzo Musetti

$303 Vol.

4%

Arthur Fery

$10 Vol.

4%

Quentin Halys

$10 Vol.

4%

Stefanos Tsitsipas

$162 Vol.

3%

Joao Fonseca

$151 Vol.

3%

Ugo Humbert

$238 Vol.

3%

Francisco Cerundolo

$1,451 Vol.

3%

Casper Ruud

$391 Vol.

2%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

$177 Vol.

2%

Andrey Rublev

$121 Vol.

2%

Mariano Navone

$252 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source. If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes." If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Sinner and Zverev have already secured qualification** for the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals in Turin (November 15-22) via strong 2026 results, including Sinner’s Wimbledon final run and multiple Masters 1000 titles plus Zverev’s Roland Garros crown and consistent performances. The PIF ATP Live Race to Turin, which awards points from January 1 onward, currently shows a clear top two, followed by a tightly grouped pack—Alcaraz, Shelton, Cobolli, Tiafoe, Fils, and Medvedev—vying for the remaining singles spots. The top seven advance directly after the Paris Masters, with potential Grand Slam champion exceptions. Recent US Open results have boosted Shelton and Tiafoe while highlighting the impact of hard-court form, injuries, and schedule management on the cutoff battle through the fall swing. Trader consensus reflects these established leads and the narrow margins among contenders.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source.

If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes."

If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source. If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes." If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$25,933
Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 10:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source. If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes." If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Sinner and Zverev have already secured qualification** for the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals in Turin (November 15-22) via strong 2026 results, including Sinner’s Wimbledon final run and multiple Masters 1000 titles plus Zverev’s Roland Garros crown and consistent performances. The PIF ATP Live Race to Turin, which awards points from January 1 onward, currently shows a clear top two, followed by a tightly grouped pack—Alcaraz, Shelton, Cobolli, Tiafoe, Fils, and Medvedev—vying for the remaining singles spots. The top seven advance directly after the Paris Masters, with potential Grand Slam champion exceptions. Recent US Open results have boosted Shelton and Tiafoe while highlighting the impact of hard-court form, injuries, and schedule management on the cutoff battle through the fall swing. Trader consensus reflects these established leads and the narrow margins among contenders.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source.

If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes."

If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source. If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes." If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$25,933
Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 10:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Related

icon for Will Jannik Sinner Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings

Will Jannik Sinner Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings

96%
icon for Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings

Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings

61%
icon for Will an American player win the 2026 US Open?

Will an American player win the 2026 US Open?

43%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 37 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ben Shelton" at 98%, followed by "Carlos Alcaraz" at 96%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify" has generated $25.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify," browse the 37 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify" is "Ben Shelton" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 96%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.