**Lyon enters the Champions League play-off second leg at Groupama Stadium holding a slight edge after the 1-1 first-leg draw in Istanbul, where Loïs Openda’s away goal proved decisive.** Home advantage, combined with Lyon’s recent 2-0 Ligue 1 win at Toulouse and solid form since the Sparta Prague tie, underpins the 50.5% implied probability for a Lyon victory. Fenerbahçe, despite an ambitious summer rebuild featuring Greenwood, Lukaku, and others, faces multiple key absences including Asensio, Aktürkoğlu, Oosterwolde, and Günok that limit squad depth for the return fixture. The 26.5% draw and 24.5% Fenerbahçe win probabilities reflect the evenly poised aggregate and the competitive nature of the matchup, with traders pricing in Lyon’s venue boost alongside the Turkish side’s proven resilience on the road.
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Olympique Lyonnais – Fenerbahçe SK
Team to Advance
$7.0K Vol.
Moneyline
Reg Time$26.9K Vol.
Spreads
Reg Time$184 Vol.
Totals
Reg Time$574 Vol.
Both Teams to Score?
Reg Time$387 Vol.
First Team to Score
Reg Time$5 Vol.
Olympique Lyonnais Totals
Reg Time$0 Vol.
Fenerbahçe SK Totals
Reg Time$0 Vol.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Olympique Lyonnais – Fenerbahçe SK
Team to Advance
$7.0K Vol.
Moneyline
Reg Time$26.9K Vol.
Spreads
Reg Time$184 Vol.
Totals
Reg Time$574 Vol.
Both Teams to Score?
Reg Time$387 Vol.
First Team to Score
Reg Time$5 Vol.
Olympique Lyonnais Totals
Reg Time$0 Vol.
Fenerbahçe SK Totals
Reg Time$0 Vol.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Lyon enters the Champions League play-off second leg at Groupama Stadium holding a slight edge after the 1-1 first-leg draw in Istanbul, where Loïs Openda’s away goal proved decisive.** Home advantage, combined with Lyon’s recent 2-0 Ligue 1 win at Toulouse and solid form since the Sparta Prague tie, underpins the 50.5% implied probability for a Lyon victory. Fenerbahçe, despite an ambitious summer rebuild featuring Greenwood, Lukaku, and others, faces multiple key absences including Asensio, Aktürkoğlu, Oosterwolde, and Günok that limit squad depth for the return fixture. The 26.5% draw and 24.5% Fenerbahçe win probabilities reflect the evenly poised aggregate and the competitive nature of the matchup, with traders pricing in Lyon’s venue boost alongside the Turkish side’s proven resilience on the road.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
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