The expanded 36-team league phase format, with each side facing eight varied opponents across Matchday 1 results and a lengthy schedule through January 2027, has created broad uncertainty over the bottom position. Early outcomes, including upsets like AEK Athens over LASK and Aston Villa over Club Brugge, underscore how mid-table and weaker entrants can accumulate points unpredictably while stronger sides occasionally drop results. This variance, combined with differing squad depths, travel demands, and injury risks, keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched among numerous clubs outside the elite tier, reflecting trader consensus on realistic paths to last place for several teams rather than any dominant favorite.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUEFA Champions League: League Phase Last Place
Bodø/Glimt 42%
Porto 42%
Aston Villa 41%
Roma 41%
Bodø/Glimt
42%
Porto
42%
Aston Villa
41%
Roma
41%
Slavia Prague
41%
Shakhtar Donetsk
41%
Fenerbahçe
41%
VfB Stuttgart
41%
PSV Eindhoven
41%
Manchester United
41%
Bayern Munich
41%
Lens
41%
Lille
41%
Manchester City
41%
Villarreal
41%
Real Betis
41%
Sporting CP
41%
Galatasaray
41%
Como
41%
Slovan Bratislava
41%
RB Leipzig
41%
Sabah
41%
Borussia Dortmund
41%
Liverpool
40%
AEK Athens
40%
LASK
40%
Barcelona
40%
Club Brugge
40%
Feyenoord
39%
Inter Milan
39%
Napoli
39%
Atlético Madrid
39%
Viking
38%
Paris Saint-Germain
6%
Arsenal
4%
Real Madrid
4%
Bodø/Glimt 42%
Porto 42%
Aston Villa 41%
Roma 41%
Bodø/Glimt
42%
Porto
42%
Aston Villa
41%
Roma
41%
Slavia Prague
41%
Shakhtar Donetsk
41%
Fenerbahçe
41%
VfB Stuttgart
41%
PSV Eindhoven
41%
Manchester United
41%
Bayern Munich
41%
Lens
41%
Lille
41%
Manchester City
41%
Villarreal
41%
Real Betis
41%
Sporting CP
41%
Galatasaray
41%
Como
41%
Slovan Bratislava
41%
RB Leipzig
41%
Sabah
41%
Borussia Dortmund
41%
Liverpool
40%
AEK Athens
40%
LASK
40%
Barcelona
40%
Club Brugge
40%
Feyenoord
39%
Inter Milan
39%
Napoli
39%
Atlético Madrid
39%
Viking
38%
Paris Saint-Germain
6%
Arsenal
4%
Real Madrid
4%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish last in the league phase, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition.
If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish last in the league phase, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition.
If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The expanded 36-team league phase format, with each side facing eight varied opponents across Matchday 1 results and a lengthy schedule through January 2027, has created broad uncertainty over the bottom position. Early outcomes, including upsets like AEK Athens over LASK and Aston Villa over Club Brugge, underscore how mid-table and weaker entrants can accumulate points unpredictably while stronger sides occasionally drop results. This variance, combined with differing squad depths, travel demands, and injury risks, keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched among numerous clubs outside the elite tier, reflecting trader consensus on realistic paths to last place for several teams rather than any dominant favorite.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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