Spain and France lead the UEFA Euro 2028 winner market as co-favorites due to their recent dominance, with Spain claiming the 2024 European Championship and the 2026 FIFA World Cup title after defeating France in the semifinals. France's deep squad and attacking talent sustain strong implied probabilities, while England's co-host status and squad depth under Thomas Tuchel keep them competitive despite a 2026 World Cup semifinal exit. The tight clustering among the top five reflects Europe's elite depth, with Portugal, Germany, and the Netherlands maintaining realistic paths through strong recent Nations League and qualifying form ahead of the 2027 group stage draw. Host qualification rules and long-term roster stability further compress probabilities across contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSpain 23%
France 20%
England 16%
Germany 10%
$67,780 Vol.
$67,780 Vol.
Albania
5%
Andorra
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Austria
1%
Azerbaijan
<1%
Belarus
<1%
Belgium
5%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
<1%
Bulgaria
<1%
Croatia
1%
Cyprus
<1%
Czech Republic
<1%
Denmark
1%
England
16%
Estonia
2%
Faroe Islands
<1%
Finland
2%
France
20%
Georgia
2%
Germany
10%
Gibraltar
4%
Greece
1%
Hungary
<1%
Iceland
<1%
Israel
3%
Italy
4%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Kosovo
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Liechtenstein
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Luxembourg
<1%
Malta
<1%
Moldova
<1%
Montenegro
<1%
Netherlands
7%
North Macedonia
1%
Northern Ireland
<1%
Norway
6%
Poland
1%
Portugal
10%
Republic of Ireland
<1%
Romania
<1%
Russia
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Scotland
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Slovakia
<1%
Slovenia
<1%
Spain
23%
Sweden
2%
Switzerland
2%
Turkey
1%
Ukraine
<1%
Wales
<1%
Spain 23%
France 20%
England 16%
Germany 10%
$67,780 Vol.
$67,780 Vol.
Albania
5%
Andorra
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Austria
1%
Azerbaijan
<1%
Belarus
<1%
Belgium
5%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
<1%
Bulgaria
<1%
Croatia
1%
Cyprus
<1%
Czech Republic
<1%
Denmark
1%
England
16%
Estonia
2%
Faroe Islands
<1%
Finland
2%
France
20%
Georgia
2%
Germany
10%
Gibraltar
4%
Greece
1%
Hungary
<1%
Iceland
<1%
Israel
3%
Italy
4%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Kosovo
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Liechtenstein
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Luxembourg
<1%
Malta
<1%
Moldova
<1%
Montenegro
<1%
Netherlands
7%
North Macedonia
1%
Northern Ireland
<1%
Norway
6%
Poland
1%
Portugal
10%
Republic of Ireland
<1%
Romania
<1%
Russia
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Scotland
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Slovakia
<1%
Slovenia
<1%
Spain
23%
Sweden
2%
Switzerland
2%
Turkey
1%
Ukraine
<1%
Wales
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Spain and France lead the UEFA Euro 2028 winner market as co-favorites due to their recent dominance, with Spain claiming the 2024 European Championship and the 2026 FIFA World Cup title after defeating France in the semifinals. France's deep squad and attacking talent sustain strong implied probabilities, while England's co-host status and squad depth under Thomas Tuchel keep them competitive despite a 2026 World Cup semifinal exit. The tight clustering among the top five reflects Europe's elite depth, with Portugal, Germany, and the Netherlands maintaining realistic paths through strong recent Nations League and qualifying form ahead of the 2027 group stage draw. Host qualification rules and long-term roster stability further compress probabilities across contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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