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Sports·UFC

Jafel Filho – Lucas Rocha

Polymarket
Jafel Filho
Jafel Filho
FINAL
Lucas Rocha
Lucas Rocha
$177.02K Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$176K Vol.

Totals

$578 Vol.

Go the Distance?

$25 Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$37 Vol.

Filho to win by KO/TKO?

$30 Vol.

Rocha to win by KO/TKO?

$48 Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$69 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Jafel Filho" if Jafel Filho is officially declared the winner of the fight against Lucas Rocha at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Lucas Rocha" if Lucas Rocha is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Jafel Filho and Lucas Rocha at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Jafel Filho and Lucas Rocha at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jafel Filho defeats Lucas Rocha at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lucas Rocha defeats Jafel Filho at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Jafel Filho and Lucas Rocha at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Jafel Filho and Lucas Rocha at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Jafel Filho and Lucas Rocha at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. “Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 9, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Jafel Filho and Lucas Rocha at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Jafel Filho and Lucas Rocha at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. “Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 9, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Jafel Filho and Lucas Rocha at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Jafel Filho and Lucas Rocha at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 9, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Lucas Rocha's undisclosed injury forced his withdrawal from the scheduled flyweight prelim bout against Jafel Filho at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal on April 25, 2026, at UFC APEX in Las Vegas, scrapping the matchup just days before weigh-ins. Filho, a 17-4 submission specialist from Nova Uniao with 11 tapouts, instead faced short-notice replacement Cody Durden (17-10-1 UFC), dropping a lopsided unanimous decision (30-27 x3) amid visible gassing and potential knee concerns. Rocha entered off a UD win over Stewart Nicoll in October 2025, underscoring MMA's injury volatility; traders priced Filho as a moderate pre-fight favorite (-300) reflecting his grappling edge before the late pivot reshaped outcomes.

This market will resolve to "Jafel Filho" if Jafel Filho is officially declared the winner of the fight against Lucas Rocha at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026.

It will resolve to "Lucas Rocha" if Lucas Rocha is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$177,017
End Date
Apr 26, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Jafel Filho" if Jafel Filho is officially declared the winner of the fight against Lucas Rocha at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Lucas Rocha" if Lucas Rocha is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Rocha vs. Filho” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Lucas Rocha and the Jafel Filho, scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Filho is currently priced at 50¢ (50% implied probability) and Rocha at 50¢ (50%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Rocha vs. Filho” market has generated $177K in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Rocha vs. Filho,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows LUC10 at 50¢ and JAF at 50¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Rocha vs. Filho” show Jafel Filho at 50¢ (50% implied probability) and Lucas Rocha at 50¢ (50%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Rocha vs. Filho” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.
Sports·UFC

Jafel Filho – Lucas Rocha

Polymarket
Jafel Filho
Jafel Filho
FINAL
Lucas Rocha
Lucas Rocha
$177.02K Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$176K Vol.

Totals

$578 Vol.

Go the Distance?

$25 Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$37 Vol.

Filho to win by KO/TKO?

$30 Vol.

Rocha to win by KO/TKO?

$48 Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$69 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Jafel Filho" if Jafel Filho is officially declared the winner of the fight against Lucas Rocha at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Lucas Rocha" if Lucas Rocha is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Jafel Filho and Lucas Rocha at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Jafel Filho and Lucas Rocha at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jafel Filho defeats Lucas Rocha at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lucas Rocha defeats Jafel Filho at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Jafel Filho and Lucas Rocha at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Jafel Filho and Lucas Rocha at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Jafel Filho and Lucas Rocha at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. “Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 9, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Jafel Filho and Lucas Rocha at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Jafel Filho and Lucas Rocha at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. “Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 9, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Jafel Filho and Lucas Rocha at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Jafel Filho and Lucas Rocha at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 9, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Lucas Rocha's undisclosed injury forced his withdrawal from the scheduled flyweight prelim bout against Jafel Filho at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal on April 25, 2026, at UFC APEX in Las Vegas, scrapping the matchup just days before weigh-ins. Filho, a 17-4 submission specialist from Nova Uniao with 11 tapouts, instead faced short-notice replacement Cody Durden (17-10-1 UFC), dropping a lopsided unanimous decision (30-27 x3) amid visible gassing and potential knee concerns. Rocha entered off a UD win over Stewart Nicoll in October 2025, underscoring MMA's injury volatility; traders priced Filho as a moderate pre-fight favorite (-300) reflecting his grappling edge before the late pivot reshaped outcomes.

This market will resolve to "Jafel Filho" if Jafel Filho is officially declared the winner of the fight against Lucas Rocha at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026.

It will resolve to "Lucas Rocha" if Lucas Rocha is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$177,017
End Date
Apr 26, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Jafel Filho" if Jafel Filho is officially declared the winner of the fight against Lucas Rocha at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Lucas Rocha" if Lucas Rocha is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Rocha vs. Filho” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Lucas Rocha and the Jafel Filho, scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Filho is currently priced at 50¢ (50% implied probability) and Rocha at 50¢ (50%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Rocha vs. Filho” market has generated $177K in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Rocha vs. Filho,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows LUC10 at 50¢ and JAF at 50¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Rocha vs. Filho” show Jafel Filho at 50¢ (50% implied probability) and Lucas Rocha at 50¢ (50%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Rocha vs. Filho” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.