Sports·UFC

Kelvin Gastelum vs Vicente Luque

Polymarket
Kelvin Gastelum
Kelvin Gastelum
5:00 PMApril 11
Vicente Luque
Vicente Luque
$120.95K Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$121K Vol.

Totals

$114 Vol.

Go the Distance?

$21 Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Gastelum to win by KO/TKO?

$112 Vol.

Luque to win by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$0 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Kelvin Gastelum" if Kelvin Gastelum is officially declared the winner of the fight against Vicente Luque at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Vicente Luque" if Vicente Luque is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kelvin Gastelum and Vicente Luque at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kelvin Gastelum and Vicente Luque at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kelvin Gastelum defeats Vicente Luque at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vicente Luque defeats Kelvin Gastelum at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kelvin Gastelum and Vicente Luque at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Kelvin Gastelum and Vicente Luque at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Kelvin Gastelum and Vicente Luque at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. “Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Kelvin Gastelum and Vicente Luque at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Kelvin Gastelum and Vicente Luque at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. “Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Kelvin Gastelum and Vicente Luque at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Kelvin Gastelum and Vicente Luque at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Kelvin Gastelum holds a clear edge in trader consensus for this middleweight early prelim matchup against Vicente Luque's 185-pound debut at UFC 327 in Miami, driven by his natural size advantage and recent unanimous decision win over Dustin Stoltzfus in September 2025. Luque, a welterweight veteran with 23-12-1 record, shifts up after back-to-back losses—including a unanimous decision defeat to Joel Alvarez in October 2025 amid precautionary hospitalization—struggling to make 170 pounds. Both made weight cleanly Friday with no reported injuries or scratches, setting up a stylistic clash of Gastelum's versatile wrestling and durability against Luque's submission prowess and knockout power. Luque's opponent switch from Kyle Daukaus underscores late adjustments, but Gastelum's momentum shapes the implied probabilities.

This market will resolve to "Kelvin Gastelum" if Kelvin Gastelum is officially declared the winner of the fight against Vicente Luque at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026.

It will resolve to "Vicente Luque" if Vicente Luque is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$120,950
End Date
Apr 12, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Kelvin Gastelum" if Kelvin Gastelum is officially declared the winner of the fight against Vicente Luque at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Vicente Luque" if Vicente Luque is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Luque vs. Gastelum” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Vicente Luque and the Kelvin Gastelum, scheduled for April 11, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Gastelum is currently priced at 70¢ (70% implied probability) and Luque at 31¢ (31%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Luque vs. Gastelum” market has generated $120.9K in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Luque vs. Gastelum,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows VIC at 31¢ and KEL at 70¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Luque vs. Gastelum” show Kelvin Gastelum at 70¢ (70% implied probability) and Vicente Luque at 31¢ (31%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Luque vs. Gastelum” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.
Sports·UFC

Kelvin Gastelum vs Vicente Luque

Polymarket
Kelvin Gastelum
Kelvin Gastelum
5:00 PMApril 11
Vicente Luque
Vicente Luque
$120.95K Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$121K Vol.

Totals

$114 Vol.

Go the Distance?

$21 Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Gastelum to win by KO/TKO?

$112 Vol.

Luque to win by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$0 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Kelvin Gastelum" if Kelvin Gastelum is officially declared the winner of the fight against Vicente Luque at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Vicente Luque" if Vicente Luque is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kelvin Gastelum and Vicente Luque at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kelvin Gastelum and Vicente Luque at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kelvin Gastelum defeats Vicente Luque at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vicente Luque defeats Kelvin Gastelum at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kelvin Gastelum and Vicente Luque at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Kelvin Gastelum and Vicente Luque at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Kelvin Gastelum and Vicente Luque at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. “Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Kelvin Gastelum and Vicente Luque at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Kelvin Gastelum and Vicente Luque at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. “Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Kelvin Gastelum and Vicente Luque at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Kelvin Gastelum and Vicente Luque at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Kelvin Gastelum holds a clear edge in trader consensus for this middleweight early prelim matchup against Vicente Luque's 185-pound debut at UFC 327 in Miami, driven by his natural size advantage and recent unanimous decision win over Dustin Stoltzfus in September 2025. Luque, a welterweight veteran with 23-12-1 record, shifts up after back-to-back losses—including a unanimous decision defeat to Joel Alvarez in October 2025 amid precautionary hospitalization—struggling to make 170 pounds. Both made weight cleanly Friday with no reported injuries or scratches, setting up a stylistic clash of Gastelum's versatile wrestling and durability against Luque's submission prowess and knockout power. Luque's opponent switch from Kyle Daukaus underscores late adjustments, but Gastelum's momentum shapes the implied probabilities.

This market will resolve to "Kelvin Gastelum" if Kelvin Gastelum is officially declared the winner of the fight against Vicente Luque at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026.

It will resolve to "Vicente Luque" if Vicente Luque is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$120,950
End Date
Apr 12, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 25, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Kelvin Gastelum" if Kelvin Gastelum is officially declared the winner of the fight against Vicente Luque at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Vicente Luque" if Vicente Luque is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Luque vs. Gastelum” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Vicente Luque and the Kelvin Gastelum, scheduled for April 11, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Gastelum is currently priced at 70¢ (70% implied probability) and Luque at 31¢ (31%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Luque vs. Gastelum” market has generated $120.9K in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Luque vs. Gastelum,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows VIC at 31¢ and KEL at 70¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Luque vs. Gastelum” show Kelvin Gastelum at 70¢ (70% implied probability) and Vicente Luque at 31¢ (31%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Luque vs. Gastelum” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.