Steven Asplund holds the edge in this heavyweight matchup at UFC Fight Night in Las Vegas based on trader consensus, driven by his 86% finish rate and six knockout victories, including a second-round TKO of Sean Sharaf in his December 2025 UFC debut. Asplund (7-2) brings strong striking volume despite a unanimous decision loss to Vitor Petrino in March 2026. Guilherme Pat (6-1) counters with a 6-foot-6 frame, four knockouts, and a unanimous decision win over Allen Frye Jr. in December 2025, but enters on a majority decision defeat to Thomas Petersen in April. Both fighters share comparable UFC experience and recent form challenges, with the bout hinging on whether Asplund's power overcomes Pat's reach and durability in a main-card preliminary.
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Steven Asplund – Guilherme Pat
Combos
Moneyline
$20.3K Vol.
Totals
$66 Vol.
Go the Distance?
$4.2K Vol.
Fight won by KO/TKO?
$107 Vol.
Asplund to win by KO/TKO?
$358 Vol.
Pat to win by KO/TKO?
$0 Vol.
Fight won by submission?
$20 Vol.
It will resolve to "Guilherme Pat" if Guilherme Pat is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 22, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Market Opened: Jul 26, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.ufc.com/eventsResolver
0x65070BE91...Steven Asplund – Guilherme Pat
Combos
Moneyline
$20.3K Vol.
Totals
$66 Vol.
Go the Distance?
$4.2K Vol.
Fight won by KO/TKO?
$107 Vol.
Asplund to win by KO/TKO?
$358 Vol.
Pat to win by KO/TKO?
$0 Vol.
Fight won by submission?
$20 Vol.
It will resolve to "Guilherme Pat" if Guilherme Pat is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 22, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Market Opened: Jul 26, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.ufc.com/eventsResolver
0x65070BE91...Steven Asplund holds the edge in this heavyweight matchup at UFC Fight Night in Las Vegas based on trader consensus, driven by his 86% finish rate and six knockout victories, including a second-round TKO of Sean Sharaf in his December 2025 UFC debut. Asplund (7-2) brings strong striking volume despite a unanimous decision loss to Vitor Petrino in March 2026. Guilherme Pat (6-1) counters with a 6-foot-6 frame, four knockouts, and a unanimous decision win over Allen Frye Jr. in December 2025, but enters on a majority decision defeat to Thomas Petersen in April. Both fighters share comparable UFC experience and recent form challenges, with the bout hinging on whether Asplund's power overcomes Pat's reach and durability in a main-card preliminary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
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