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Sports·Mma

UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?

icon for UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?
Sports·Mma

UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?

Arman Tsarukyan 95.8%

Ilia Topuria 2.3%

Benoît Saint Denis 1.7%

Paddy Pimblett 1.4%

Polymarket

$177,358 Vol.

Arman Tsarukyan 95.8%

Ilia Topuria 2.3%

Benoît Saint Denis 1.7%

Paddy Pimblett 1.4%

Polymarket

$177,358 Vol.

Arman Tsarukyan

$2,830 Vol.

96%

Ilia Topuria

$1,901 Vol.

2%

Benoît Saint Denis

$1,578 Vol.

2%

Paddy Pimblett

$4,656 Vol.

1%

Justin Gaethje

$5,275 Vol.

1%

Maurício Ruffy

$107,820 Vol.

<1%

Mateusz Gamrot

$36,260 Vol.

<1%

Dan Hooker

$10,704 Vol.

<1%

Islam Makhachev

$1,597 Vol.

<1%

Conor McGregor

$4,737 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Arman Tsarukyan holds overwhelming market consensus as Charles Oliveira's next opponent due to his status as the top lightweight contender, recent strong performances against ranked opposition, and alignment with Oliveira's post-title trajectory in the division. UFC matchmaking typically prioritizes the highest-ranked available fighter for established names like Oliveira, who has faced top competition following his championship reign. The implied probability reflects this established hierarchy, with Tsarukyan's reach, wrestling base, and momentum creating a stylistic and ranking-based edge. Realistic shifts could occur from an injury withdrawal, a surprise callout from another contender like Ilia Topuria if he moves down in weight, or Oliveira opting for a different matchup amid contract or scheduling factors.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$177,358
End Date
Mar 1, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 6, 2026, 7:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Arman Tsarukyan holds overwhelming market consensus as Charles Oliveira's next opponent due to his status as the top lightweight contender, recent strong performances against ranked opposition, and alignment with Oliveira's post-title trajectory in the division. UFC matchmaking typically prioritizes the highest-ranked available fighter for established names like Oliveira, who has faced top competition following his championship reign. The implied probability reflects this established hierarchy, with Tsarukyan's reach, wrestling base, and momentum creating a stylistic and ranking-based edge. Realistic shifts could occur from an injury withdrawal, a surprise callout from another contender like Ilia Topuria if he moves down in weight, or Oliveira opting for a different matchup amid contract or scheduling factors.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$177,358
End Date
Mar 1, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 6, 2026, 7:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Arman Tsarukyan" at 96%, followed by "Ilia Topuria" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?" has generated $177.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?" is "Arman Tsarukyan" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ilia Topuria" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UFC: Who will Charles Oliveira fight next?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.