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icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Man on Fire: Season 1 100.0%

Running Point: Season 2 <1%

Hulk Hogan: Real American <1%

Straight to Hell: Season 1 <1%

Polymarket

$46,810 Vol.

Man on Fire: Season 1 100.0%

Running Point: Season 2 <1%

Hulk Hogan: Real American <1%

Straight to Hell: Season 1 <1%

Polymarket

$46,810 Vol.

Running Point: Season 2

$12,081 Vol.

No

Man on Fire: Season 1

$21,513 Vol.

Yes

Hulk Hogan: Real American

$565 Vol.

No

Straight to Hell: Season 1

$643 Vol.

No

Unchosen

$2,278 Vol.

No

Should I Marry A Murderer?

$5,026 Vol.

No

BEEF: Season 2

$3,261 Vol.

No

Stranger Things: Tales From '85

$739 Vol.

No

Million Dollar Secret: Season 2

$704 Vol.

No

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 Netflix show in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Man on Fire: Season 1 commands a 100% implied probability as the #2 US Netflix TV show this week, fueled by its explosive April 30 premiere and sustained streaming dominance in the week's viewership data ending May 4. Starring Yahya Abdul-Mateen II in a gripping revenge thriller adaptation, the series has captivated audiences with intense action and strong word-of-mouth, holding firm at #2 on the latest daily charts behind a singular #1 frontrunner like Raw or Unchosen buoyed by prior momentum. Critical praise and high audience scores have propelled its chart trajectory, outpacing competitors such as Should I Marry A Murderer? and Running Point: Season 2. With Netflix's official weekly Top 10 publishing Tuesday, upsets are improbable barring anomalous late data revisions, though a surge in a close rival's completion views could theoretically shift rankings.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 Netflix show in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$46,810
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 5:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 Netflix show in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 Netflix show in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Man on Fire: Season 1 commands a 100% implied probability as the #2 US Netflix TV show this week, fueled by its explosive April 30 premiere and sustained streaming dominance in the week's viewership data ending May 4. Starring Yahya Abdul-Mateen II in a gripping revenge thriller adaptation, the series has captivated audiences with intense action and strong word-of-mouth, holding firm at #2 on the latest daily charts behind a singular #1 frontrunner like Raw or Unchosen buoyed by prior momentum. Critical praise and high audience scores have propelled its chart trajectory, outpacing competitors such as Should I Marry A Murderer? and Running Point: Season 2. With Netflix's official weekly Top 10 publishing Tuesday, upsets are improbable barring anomalous late data revisions, though a surge in a close rival's completion views could theoretically shift rankings.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 Netflix show in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$46,810
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 5:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 Netflix show in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Man on Fire: Season 1" at 100%, followed by "Running Point: Season 2" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?" has generated $46.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?" is "Man on Fire: Season 1" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Running Point: Season 2" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.