Petr Yan leads the market at 71.5% implied probability due to repeated public statements from both fighters favoring an immediate UFC trilogy following Yan’s unanimous decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025. Recent interviews through May 2026 show Dvalishvili prioritizing the rematch once Yan is ready, while the Georgian has taken a non-UFC bout to maintain sharpness. Umar Nurmagomedov sits at 23.4% as the top division contender after their prior meeting, with Cory Sandhagen and Alexandre Pantoja lower at 20.5% and 14.1% respectively on the strength of recent form and stylistic intrigue. Trader consensus reflects the trilogy’s established narrative and timeline uncertainty rather than confirmed booking.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Petr Yan 76%
Alexandre Pantoja 10.8%
Cory Sandhagen 9.6%
Umar Nurmagomedov 8.5%
$1,159,446 交易量
$1,159,446 交易量
Petr Yan
76%
Alexandre Pantoja
11%
Cory Sandhagen
10%
Umar Nurmagomedov
8%
Sean O'Malley
12%
Song Yadong
4%
Deiveson Figueiredo
2%
Payton Talbott
1%
Ricky Simón
1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Rob Font
<1%
Alexander Volkanovski
<1%
Petr Yan 76%
Alexandre Pantoja 10.8%
Cory Sandhagen 9.6%
Umar Nurmagomedov 8.5%
$1,159,446 交易量
$1,159,446 交易量
Petr Yan
76%
Alexandre Pantoja
11%
Cory Sandhagen
10%
Umar Nurmagomedov
8%
Sean O'Malley
12%
Song Yadong
4%
Deiveson Figueiredo
2%
Payton Talbott
1%
Ricky Simón
1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Rob Font
<1%
Alexander Volkanovski
<1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
市場開放時間: Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Petr Yan leads the market at 71.5% implied probability due to repeated public statements from both fighters favoring an immediate UFC trilogy following Yan’s unanimous decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025. Recent interviews through May 2026 show Dvalishvili prioritizing the rematch once Yan is ready, while the Georgian has taken a non-UFC bout to maintain sharpness. Umar Nurmagomedov sits at 23.4% as the top division contender after their prior meeting, with Cory Sandhagen and Alexandre Pantoja lower at 20.5% and 14.1% respectively on the strength of recent form and stylistic intrigue. Trader consensus reflects the trilogy’s established narrative and timeline uncertainty rather than confirmed booking.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions