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icon for Will 100T make a roster change before August?

Will 100T make a roster change before August?

icon for Will 100T make a roster change before August?

Will 100T make a roster change before August?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$8,186 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$8,186 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves 100 Thieves's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of 100 Thieves" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/8474/100-thieves#tab-rosterBox) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: rain, poiii, sirah, device, Ag1l, Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.100 Thieves' CS2 roster, rebuilt in January 2026 around dev1ce, rain, Ag1l, sirah, and poiii under head coach gla1ve, has faced early international competition pressures that often prompt mid-season adjustments in esports. Recent VCT-adjacent results and integration challenges for the international lineup have fueled trader expectations of potential benchings or trades before the August window, especially given historical patterns where new squads tweak lineups after initial slumps. The 65% implied probability for a change reflects crowd consensus on performance-driven moves, though stable official reports and the absence of major injuries or contract issues keep the outcome contested.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves 100 Thieves's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of 100 Thieves" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/8474/100-thieves#tab-rosterBox) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: rain, poiii, sirah, device, Ag1l, Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,186
Market Opened
Jun 11, 2026, 1:46 PM ET

Resolution Source

hltv.org
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves 100 Thieves's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of 100 Thieves" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/8474/100-thieves#tab-rosterBox) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: rain, poiii, sirah, device, Ag1l, Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves 100 Thieves's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of 100 Thieves" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/8474/100-thieves#tab-rosterBox) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: rain, poiii, sirah, device, Ag1l, Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.100 Thieves' CS2 roster, rebuilt in January 2026 around dev1ce, rain, Ag1l, sirah, and poiii under head coach gla1ve, has faced early international competition pressures that often prompt mid-season adjustments in esports. Recent VCT-adjacent results and integration challenges for the international lineup have fueled trader expectations of potential benchings or trades before the August window, especially given historical patterns where new squads tweak lineups after initial slumps. The 65% implied probability for a change reflects crowd consensus on performance-driven moves, though stable official reports and the absence of major injuries or contract issues keep the outcome contested.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves 100 Thieves's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of 100 Thieves" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/8474/100-thieves#tab-rosterBox) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: rain, poiii, sirah, device, Ag1l, Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,186
Market Opened
Jun 11, 2026, 1:46 PM ET

Resolution Source

hltv.org
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves 100 Thieves's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of 100 Thieves" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/8474/100-thieves#tab-rosterBox) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: rain, poiii, sirah, device, Ag1l, Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will 100T make a roster change before August?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will 100T make a roster change before August?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 11, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will 100T make a roster change before August?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will 100T make a roster change before August?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will 100T make a roster change before August?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.