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Sports·CS2

Will FURIA Make a Roster Change by December 31?

icon for Will FURIA Make a Roster Change by December 31?
Sports·CS2

Will FURIA Make a Roster Change by December 31?

65% chance
Polymarket
NEW
65% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves FURIA's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of FURIA" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/8297/furia#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: YEKINDAR, KSCERATO, molodoy, yuurih, falleN. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. "Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.FURIA’s current CS2 roster—led by FalleN alongside international additions YEKINDAR and molodoy plus core Brazilians KSCERATO and yuurih—has stabilized after 2025 adjustments and sits at world No. 3 heading into the August-September slate of BLAST Open Fall, StarSeries Fall, and ESL Pro League Season 24. Solid recent results, including wins over 9z and Wildcard at the Esports World Cup 2026, reflect improved depth, yet the team’s history of mid-year tweaks and role experiments early in 2026 keeps traders pricing a roster change by year-end at 64.5% implied probability. Upcoming high-stakes events and the competitive nature of the international scene create ongoing incentives for further evaluation of lineups before December.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves FURIA's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of FURIA" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/8297/furia#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: YEKINDAR, KSCERATO, molodoy, yuurih, falleN. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$122
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves FURIA's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of FURIA" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/8297/furia#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: YEKINDAR, KSCERATO, molodoy, yuurih, falleN. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. "Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves FURIA's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of FURIA" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/8297/furia#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: YEKINDAR, KSCERATO, molodoy, yuurih, falleN. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. "Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.FURIA’s current CS2 roster—led by FalleN alongside international additions YEKINDAR and molodoy plus core Brazilians KSCERATO and yuurih—has stabilized after 2025 adjustments and sits at world No. 3 heading into the August-September slate of BLAST Open Fall, StarSeries Fall, and ESL Pro League Season 24. Solid recent results, including wins over 9z and Wildcard at the Esports World Cup 2026, reflect improved depth, yet the team’s history of mid-year tweaks and role experiments early in 2026 keeps traders pricing a roster change by year-end at 64.5% implied probability. Upcoming high-stakes events and the competitive nature of the international scene create ongoing incentives for further evaluation of lineups before December.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves FURIA's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of FURIA" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/8297/furia#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: YEKINDAR, KSCERATO, molodoy, yuurih, falleN. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$122
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves FURIA's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of FURIA" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/8297/furia#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: YEKINDAR, KSCERATO, molodoy, yuurih, falleN. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. "Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will FURIA Make a Roster Change by December 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 65% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 65¢, the market collectively assigns a 65% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will FURIA Make a Roster Change by December 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will FURIA Make a Roster Change by December 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will FURIA Make a Roster Change by December 31?" is 65% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 65% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will FURIA Make a Roster Change by December 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.