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Sports·Esports

Will MOUZ make a roster change before the IEM Cologne Major?

Market icon
Sports·Esports

Will MOUZ make a roster change before the IEM Cologne Major?

41% chance
Polymarket
NEW
41% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves MOUZ's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of MOUZ" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/4494/mouz#tab-rosterBox) before the 2026 IEM Cologne Major begins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Brollan, Spinx, torzsi, Jimpphat, and xertioN. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors no roster change for MOUZ at 59.5% implied probability ahead of the IEM Cologne Major 2026, reflecting the team's stable lineup—featuring riflers xertioN, Jimpphat, Spinx, Brollan, and AWPer torzsi under coach sycrone—unchanged since siuhy's departure over a year ago. Despite cratering with a 13th-16th finish at BLAST Open Rotterdam last month, where early losses to 9z and The MongolZ prompted fan calls for upheaval, MOUZ secured Major qualification via the April 6 VRS cutoff without disruption. Recent coach extensions signal commitment, and with Stage 1 not until early June, the absence of leaks or transfer rumors underscores organizational continuity over reactive shakeups.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves MOUZ's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of MOUZ" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/4494/mouz#tab-rosterBox) before the 2026 IEM Cologne Major begins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Brollan, Spinx, torzsi, Jimpphat, and xertioN. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8
End Date
Jun 18, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 1:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves MOUZ's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of MOUZ" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/4494/mouz#tab-rosterBox) before the 2026 IEM Cologne Major begins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Brollan, Spinx, torzsi, Jimpphat, and xertioN. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves MOUZ's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of MOUZ" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/4494/mouz#tab-rosterBox) before the 2026 IEM Cologne Major begins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Brollan, Spinx, torzsi, Jimpphat, and xertioN. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors no roster change for MOUZ at 59.5% implied probability ahead of the IEM Cologne Major 2026, reflecting the team's stable lineup—featuring riflers xertioN, Jimpphat, Spinx, Brollan, and AWPer torzsi under coach sycrone—unchanged since siuhy's departure over a year ago. Despite cratering with a 13th-16th finish at BLAST Open Rotterdam last month, where early losses to 9z and The MongolZ prompted fan calls for upheaval, MOUZ secured Major qualification via the April 6 VRS cutoff without disruption. Recent coach extensions signal commitment, and with Stage 1 not until early June, the absence of leaks or transfer rumors underscores organizational continuity over reactive shakeups.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves MOUZ's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of MOUZ" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/4494/mouz#tab-rosterBox) before the 2026 IEM Cologne Major begins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Brollan, Spinx, torzsi, Jimpphat, and xertioN. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8
End Date
Jun 18, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 1:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves MOUZ's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of MOUZ" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/4494/mouz#tab-rosterBox) before the 2026 IEM Cologne Major begins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Brollan, Spinx, torzsi, Jimpphat, and xertioN. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will MOUZ make a roster change before the IEM Cologne Major?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 41% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 41¢, the market collectively assigns a 41% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will MOUZ make a roster change before the IEM Cologne Major?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will MOUZ make a roster change before the IEM Cologne Major?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will MOUZ make a roster change before the IEM Cologne Major?" is 41% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 41% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will MOUZ make a roster change before the IEM Cologne Major?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.