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World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

icon for World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$1,160,581 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$1,160,581 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any goalkeeper scores a goal in any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Goals scored (including penalties) during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Goals scored by a goalkeeper from a penalty shootout do not count. Goals ruled as an own goal will not count. The scorer must be a goalkeeper as officially recorded by FIFA. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether a goalkeeper scored within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In the 2026 FIFA World Cup, traders assign just a 4.7% implied probability that any goalkeeper scores, reflecting the position's defensive priorities and the extreme rarity of such goals across tournament history. Goalkeepers primarily focus on shot-stopping and distribution rather than attacking set pieces or penalties, with only isolated past instances—often from spot kicks—occurring in senior international play. Early group-stage matches have featured standout saves and clean sheets but no keeper contributions to the scoresheet, reinforcing market conviction. Realistic paths to a goal remain limited to a successful penalty or direct free kick in a high-pressure situation, late-game desperation, or extra time, though these remain low-probability events given tactical norms and the expanded 48-team format.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any goalkeeper scores a goal in any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Goals scored (including penalties) during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Goals scored by a goalkeeper from a penalty shootout do not count. Goals ruled as an own goal will not count. The scorer must be a goalkeeper as officially recorded by FIFA.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether a goalkeeper scored within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,160,581
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any goalkeeper scores a goal in any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Goals scored (including penalties) during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Goals scored by a goalkeeper from a penalty shootout do not count. Goals ruled as an own goal will not count. The scorer must be a goalkeeper as officially recorded by FIFA. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether a goalkeeper scored within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any goalkeeper scores a goal in any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Goals scored (including penalties) during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Goals scored by a goalkeeper from a penalty shootout do not count. Goals ruled as an own goal will not count. The scorer must be a goalkeeper as officially recorded by FIFA. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether a goalkeeper scored within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In the 2026 FIFA World Cup, traders assign just a 4.7% implied probability that any goalkeeper scores, reflecting the position's defensive priorities and the extreme rarity of such goals across tournament history. Goalkeepers primarily focus on shot-stopping and distribution rather than attacking set pieces or penalties, with only isolated past instances—often from spot kicks—occurring in senior international play. Early group-stage matches have featured standout saves and clean sheets but no keeper contributions to the scoresheet, reinforcing market conviction. Realistic paths to a goal remain limited to a successful penalty or direct free kick in a high-pressure situation, late-game desperation, or extra time, though these remain low-probability events given tactical norms and the expanded 48-team format.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any goalkeeper scores a goal in any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Goals scored (including penalties) during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Goals scored by a goalkeeper from a penalty shootout do not count. Goals ruled as an own goal will not count. The scorer must be a goalkeeper as officially recorded by FIFA.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether a goalkeeper scored within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,160,581
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any goalkeeper scores a goal in any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Goals scored (including penalties) during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Goals scored by a goalkeeper from a penalty shootout do not count. Goals ruled as an own goal will not count. The scorer must be a goalkeeper as officially recorded by FIFA. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether a goalkeeper scored within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?" has generated $1.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.