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icon for World Cup: Single Match Yellow Cards Record Broken?

World Cup: Single Match Yellow Cards Record Broken?

icon for World Cup: Single Match Yellow Cards Record Broken?

World Cup: Single Match Yellow Cards Record Broken?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$59,083 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$59,083 Vol.

Note: Current record 18 (Argentina vs. Netherlands, 2022). This market will resolve “Yes” if 19 or more yellow cards are shown across both teams in any single match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, including extra time and penalty shootouts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Cards shown to coaches or technical staff count toward the total. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The record of 18 yellow cards in a single World Cup match, set during the 2022 Argentina-Netherlands quarterfinal, remains an outlier driven by intense physicality and referee leniency in high-stakes knockouts. In the expanded 2026 edition, early group-stage and round-of-32 fixtures have produced modest disciplinary totals, with tournament-wide yellows hovering around 25 after the opening rounds and the Mexico-South Africa opener notable mainly for three red cards rather than volume bookings. FIFA’s dual yellow-card amnesties after the group stage and quarterfinals reduce accumulation pressure, while modern referee protocols emphasize game management over mass cautions. High-card matches require rare combinations of rivalry intensity, fatigue, and officiating style that have not materialized yet and are statistically uncommon even in later rounds. Trader consensus at 92% on “No” reflects this low historical frequency and lack of early indicators pointing toward a repeat.

Note: Current record 18 (Argentina vs. Netherlands, 2022).

This market will resolve “Yes” if 19 or more yellow cards are shown across both teams in any single match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, including extra time and penalty shootouts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Cards shown to coaches or technical staff count toward the total.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$59,083
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
Note: Current record 18 (Argentina vs. Netherlands, 2022). This market will resolve “Yes” if 19 or more yellow cards are shown across both teams in any single match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, including extra time and penalty shootouts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Cards shown to coaches or technical staff count toward the total. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Note: Current record 18 (Argentina vs. Netherlands, 2022). This market will resolve “Yes” if 19 or more yellow cards are shown across both teams in any single match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, including extra time and penalty shootouts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Cards shown to coaches or technical staff count toward the total. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The record of 18 yellow cards in a single World Cup match, set during the 2022 Argentina-Netherlands quarterfinal, remains an outlier driven by intense physicality and referee leniency in high-stakes knockouts. In the expanded 2026 edition, early group-stage and round-of-32 fixtures have produced modest disciplinary totals, with tournament-wide yellows hovering around 25 after the opening rounds and the Mexico-South Africa opener notable mainly for three red cards rather than volume bookings. FIFA’s dual yellow-card amnesties after the group stage and quarterfinals reduce accumulation pressure, while modern referee protocols emphasize game management over mass cautions. High-card matches require rare combinations of rivalry intensity, fatigue, and officiating style that have not materialized yet and are statistically uncommon even in later rounds. Trader consensus at 92% on “No” reflects this low historical frequency and lack of early indicators pointing toward a repeat.

Note: Current record 18 (Argentina vs. Netherlands, 2022).

This market will resolve “Yes” if 19 or more yellow cards are shown across both teams in any single match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, including extra time and penalty shootouts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Cards shown to coaches or technical staff count toward the total.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$59,083
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
Note: Current record 18 (Argentina vs. Netherlands, 2022). This market will resolve “Yes” if 19 or more yellow cards are shown across both teams in any single match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, including extra time and penalty shootouts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Cards shown to coaches or technical staff count toward the total. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Single Match Yellow Cards Record Broken?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "World Cup: Single Match Yellow Cards Record Broken?" has generated $59.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 8, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "World Cup: Single Match Yellow Cards Record Broken?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "World Cup: Single Match Yellow Cards Record Broken?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Single Match Yellow Cards Record Broken?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.