The close bunching of implied probabilities between 39% and 50% across multiple AFC nations highlights the high uncertainty surrounding which team will finish with the weakest record at the 2026 World Cup. Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Iran, Jordan, and several others sit within a narrow range, reflecting comparable squad strengths, recent qualifying campaigns, and the potential for any one side to struggle in a tough group stage draw. The 50% on Other further signals that traders see no clear frontrunner for last place among the Asian contingent, driven by evenly matched form, injury risks, and the inherent variability of tournament results.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWorld Cup: Worst-Placed AFC Nation
Qatar 49%
Iraq 48%
Jordan 47%
Iran 46%
Australia
14%
Iran
46%
Iraq
48%
Japan
21%
Jordan
47%
Qatar
49%
Saudi Arabia
35%
South Korea
42%
Uzbekistan
44%
Qatar 49%
Iraq 48%
Jordan 47%
Iran 46%
Australia
14%
Iran
46%
Iraq
48%
Japan
21%
Jordan
47%
Qatar
49%
Saudi Arabia
35%
South Korea
42%
Uzbekistan
44%
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 5, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The close bunching of implied probabilities between 39% and 50% across multiple AFC nations highlights the high uncertainty surrounding which team will finish with the weakest record at the 2026 World Cup. Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Iran, Jordan, and several others sit within a narrow range, reflecting comparable squad strengths, recent qualifying campaigns, and the potential for any one side to struggle in a tough group stage draw. The 50% on Other further signals that traders see no clear frontrunner for last place among the Asian contingent, driven by evenly matched form, injury risks, and the inherent variability of tournament results.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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