Spain and France lead the 2026 World Cup winner market as co-favorites with nearly identical implied probabilities, followed closely by England, Portugal, Brazil, and Argentina, reflecting a deep field of contenders with comparable squad depth and recent form. Power rankings from multiple outlets place Spain atop the list entering the final weeks before the June 11 opener, citing its blend of experienced leaders and emerging talents, while France benefits from elite attacking options and defensive organization. England’s consistent results and Portugal’s star power keep them in striking distance, and South American sides like Brazil and defending champion Argentina maintain realistic paths despite tougher group draws. The expanded 48-team format and balanced bracket contribute to the tight clustering, as no single nation has separated itself decisively in the buildup.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWorld Cup Winner
World Cup Winner
Hiszpania 16.9%
Francja 16.6%
Anglia 11.2%
Portugalia 10.2%
$1,291,303,141 Wol.
$1,291,303,141 Wol.
Hiszpania
17%
Francja
17%
Anglia
11%
Portugalia
10%
Brazylia
9%
Argentyna
9%
Niemcy
5%
Holandia
4%
Norwegia
3%
Kolumbia
2%
Japonia
2%
Belgia
2%
Maroko
1%
Szwajcaria
1%
USA
1%
Urugwaj
1%
Meksyk
1%
Ekwador
1%
Croatia
1%
Turcja
1%
Senegal
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Kanada
<1%
Korea Południowa
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Bośnia i Hercegowina
<1%
Paragwaj
<1%
Szkocja
<1%
Wybrzeże Kości Słoniowej
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Iran
<1%
Algieria
<1%
Tunezja
<1%
Demokratyczna Republika Konga
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nowa Zelandia
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Republika Południowej Afryki
<1%
Republika Zielonego Przylądka
<1%
Katar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Hiszpania 16.9%
Francja 16.6%
Anglia 11.2%
Portugalia 10.2%
$1,291,303,141 Wol.
$1,291,303,141 Wol.
Hiszpania
17%
Francja
17%
Anglia
11%
Portugalia
10%
Brazylia
9%
Argentyna
9%
Niemcy
5%
Holandia
4%
Norwegia
3%
Kolumbia
2%
Japonia
2%
Belgia
2%
Maroko
1%
Szwajcaria
1%
USA
1%
Urugwaj
1%
Meksyk
1%
Ekwador
1%
Croatia
1%
Turcja
1%
Senegal
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Kanada
<1%
Korea Południowa
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Bośnia i Hercegowina
<1%
Paragwaj
<1%
Szkocja
<1%
Wybrzeże Kości Słoniowej
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Iran
<1%
Algieria
<1%
Tunezja
<1%
Demokratyczna Republika Konga
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nowa Zelandia
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Republika Południowej Afryki
<1%
Republika Zielonego Przylądka
<1%
Katar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain and France lead the 2026 World Cup winner market as co-favorites with nearly identical implied probabilities, followed closely by England, Portugal, Brazil, and Argentina, reflecting a deep field of contenders with comparable squad depth and recent form. Power rankings from multiple outlets place Spain atop the list entering the final weeks before the June 11 opener, citing its blend of experienced leaders and emerging talents, while France benefits from elite attacking options and defensive organization. England’s consistent results and Portugal’s star power keep them in striking distance, and South American sides like Brazil and defending champion Argentina maintain realistic paths despite tougher group draws. The expanded 48-team format and balanced bracket contribute to the tight clustering, as no single nation has separated itself decisively in the buildup.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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