Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 65.3% implied probability after a record-setting 2025-26 campaign with Bayern Munich that delivered 61 goals in 51 appearances, the Bundesliga Golden Boot, European Golden Shoe, league title, and DFB-Pokal. Traders continue to price in his combination of volume scoring, creative output, and domestic silverware despite England’s World Cup semifinal exit and lack of Champions League success. Lamine Yamal sits second at 14.9% on the strength of Barcelona’s La Liga campaign and Spain’s World Cup triumph, where his influence at 19 reinforced the generational-talent narrative. Kylian Mbappé (7.3%) and Rodri (5.5%) follow, the latter boosted by his World Cup Golden Ball while playing for the champions; Lionel Messi (2.5%) retains residual support from an electric tournament start. Market pricing reflects the typical weighting of individual dominance against major international titles in a World Cup year.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoZwycięzca Ballon d'Or 2026
Zwycięzca Ballon d'Or 2026
Harry Kane 65.3%
Lamine Yamal 14.9%
Kylian Mbappé 7.3%
Rodri 6%
$32,231,902 Wol.
$32,231,902 Wol.
Harry Kane
65%
Lamine Yamal
15%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Rodri
6%
Lionel Messi
3%
Chwicza Kwaracchelia
2%
Fabian Ruiz
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 65.3%
Lamine Yamal 14.9%
Kylian Mbappé 7.3%
Rodri 6%
$32,231,902 Wol.
$32,231,902 Wol.
Harry Kane
65%
Lamine Yamal
15%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Rodri
6%
Lionel Messi
3%
Chwicza Kwaracchelia
2%
Fabian Ruiz
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Rynek otwarty: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 65.3% implied probability after a record-setting 2025-26 campaign with Bayern Munich that delivered 61 goals in 51 appearances, the Bundesliga Golden Boot, European Golden Shoe, league title, and DFB-Pokal. Traders continue to price in his combination of volume scoring, creative output, and domestic silverware despite England’s World Cup semifinal exit and lack of Champions League success. Lamine Yamal sits second at 14.9% on the strength of Barcelona’s La Liga campaign and Spain’s World Cup triumph, where his influence at 19 reinforced the generational-talent narrative. Kylian Mbappé (7.3%) and Rodri (5.5%) follow, the latter boosted by his World Cup Golden Ball while playing for the champions; Lionel Messi (2.5%) retains residual support from an electric tournament start. Market pricing reflects the typical weighting of individual dominance against major international titles in a World Cup year.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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