**Harry Kane leads trader sentiment for a top-three finish in the 2026 Ballon d’Or after a record 73-goal season across club and country that delivered Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal titles plus a strong World Cup showing with England.** Lamine Yamal sits close behind on the back of Spain’s World Cup triumph, his La Liga MVP campaign, and breakout status as the youngest standout in recent memory. Kylian Mbappé holds the third spot in most implied probabilities thanks to his consistent output and high-profile performances. The October 26 ceremony in London follows a shortlist released in early September that includes these three plus Rodri, Messi, and others whose cases rest on World Cup impact and club metrics. Traders are pricing in the award’s emphasis on major trophies and individual numbers over the August 2025–July 2026 window, with late club form and voter narratives as the final swing factors before the vote closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$110,982 Wol.
Harry Kane
92%
Lamine Yamal
83%
Kylian Mbappé
53%
Lionel Messi
42%
Rodri
30%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
16%
Ousmane Dembélé
14%
Michael Olise
9%
Pau Cubarsi
4%
Fabian Ruiz
3%
Jude Bellingham
3%
Achraf Hakimi
2%
Luis Diaz
2%
Erling Haaland
2%
Vitinha
2%
Declan Rice
1%
Vinícius Júnior
1%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
$110,982 Wol.
Harry Kane
92%
Lamine Yamal
83%
Kylian Mbappé
53%
Lionel Messi
42%
Rodri
30%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
16%
Ousmane Dembélé
14%
Michael Olise
9%
Pau Cubarsi
4%
Fabian Ruiz
3%
Jude Bellingham
3%
Achraf Hakimi
2%
Luis Diaz
2%
Erling Haaland
2%
Vitinha
2%
Declan Rice
1%
Vinícius Júnior
1%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 7, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...**Harry Kane leads trader sentiment for a top-three finish in the 2026 Ballon d’Or after a record 73-goal season across club and country that delivered Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal titles plus a strong World Cup showing with England.** Lamine Yamal sits close behind on the back of Spain’s World Cup triumph, his La Liga MVP campaign, and breakout status as the youngest standout in recent memory. Kylian Mbappé holds the third spot in most implied probabilities thanks to his consistent output and high-profile performances. The October 26 ceremony in London follows a shortlist released in early September that includes these three plus Rodri, Messi, and others whose cases rest on World Cup impact and club metrics. Traders are pricing in the award’s emphasis on major trophies and individual numbers over the August 2025–July 2026 window, with late club form and voter narratives as the final swing factors before the vote closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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