Blades Brown leads the Valspar Championship at 11-under after a third-round 66, but Thorbjorn Olesen, Emiliano Grillo, Mackenzie Hughes, and Patrick Fishburn trail by just one stroke, compressing trader consensus into a tight 27-29% implied probability cluster. This bunched leaderboard on Innisbrook's Copperhead Course—known for its narrow fairways and tricky greens—reflects strong recent form, with all top-five posting bogey-free weekends and superior strokes gained putting. No major injuries or withdrawals alter dynamics, while calm final-round conditions favor precise iron play over power, keeping the wisdom of crowds pricing an unpredictable finish amid historical close calls at the event.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourSung-Jae Im 20.9%
Matt Fitzpatrick 12.2%
David Lipsky 7.4%
Doug Ghim 6.0%
$135,053 Vol.
$135,053 Vol.
Sung-Jae Im
21%
Matt Fitzpatrick
12%
David Lipsky
7%
Doug Ghim
6%
Chandler Blanchet
6%
Brooks Koepka
5%
Jacob Bridgeman
5%
Marco Penge
4%
Pierceson Coody
4%
Davis Chatfield
3%
Corey Conners
3%
David Ford
3%
Tony Finau
3%
Patrick Cantlay
2%
Ryo Hisatsune
2%
Xander Schauffele
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Ricky Castillo
1%
Keegan Bradley
1%
Rico Hoey
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
John Parry
1%
Matthias Schmid
1%
A.J. Ewart
1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Matthieu Pavon
21%
Chad Ramey
20%
Isaiah Salinda
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Kensei Hirata
<1%
Lee Hodges
<1%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
<1%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
Kevin Roy
20%
Michael Kim
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
19%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Akshay Bhatia
<1%
Henry Lebioda
<1%
Robert MacIntyre
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
<1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
8%
Max Greyserman
<1%
Stephan Jaeger
<1%
Takumi Kanaya
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Blades Brown
-
Chandler Phillips
-
Patrick Fishburn
-
Emiliano Grillo
-
Mackenzie Hughes
-
Tom Kim
-
Andrew Novak
-
Thorbjorn Olesen
-
Sung-Jae Im 20.9%
Matt Fitzpatrick 12.2%
David Lipsky 7.4%
Doug Ghim 6.0%
$135,053 Vol.
$135,053 Vol.
Sung-Jae Im
21%
Matt Fitzpatrick
12%
David Lipsky
7%
Doug Ghim
6%
Chandler Blanchet
6%
Brooks Koepka
5%
Jacob Bridgeman
5%
Marco Penge
4%
Pierceson Coody
4%
Davis Chatfield
3%
Corey Conners
3%
David Ford
3%
Tony Finau
3%
Patrick Cantlay
2%
Ryo Hisatsune
2%
Xander Schauffele
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Ricky Castillo
1%
Keegan Bradley
1%
Rico Hoey
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
John Parry
1%
Matthias Schmid
1%
A.J. Ewart
1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Matthieu Pavon
21%
Chad Ramey
20%
Isaiah Salinda
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Kensei Hirata
<1%
Lee Hodges
<1%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
<1%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
Kevin Roy
20%
Michael Kim
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
19%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Akshay Bhatia
<1%
Henry Lebioda
<1%
Robert MacIntyre
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
<1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
8%
Max Greyserman
<1%
Stephan Jaeger
<1%
Takumi Kanaya
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Blades Brown
-
Chandler Phillips
-
Patrick Fishburn
-
Emiliano Grillo
-
Mackenzie Hughes
-
Tom Kim
-
Andrew Novak
-
Thorbjorn Olesen
-
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valspar Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Valspar Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by March 28, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Marché ouvert : Mar 16, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Blades Brown leads the Valspar Championship at 11-under after a third-round 66, but Thorbjorn Olesen, Emiliano Grillo, Mackenzie Hughes, and Patrick Fishburn trail by just one stroke, compressing trader consensus into a tight 27-29% implied probability cluster. This bunched leaderboard on Innisbrook's Copperhead Course—known for its narrow fairways and tricky greens—reflects strong recent form, with all top-five posting bogey-free weekends and superior strokes gained putting. No major injuries or withdrawals alter dynamics, while calm final-round conditions favor precise iron play over power, keeping the wisdom of crowds pricing an unpredictable finish amid historical close calls at the event.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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