Scottie Scheffler's elite ball-striking and title defense at Augusta National anchor his 17.5% implied probability, fueled by three wins already in 2025—including the Players Championship—and top rankings in strokes gained approach, giving him an edge on Augusta's demanding fairways and greens. Rory McIlroy trails at 9.5% amid career grand slam hype and recent victories like Pebble Beach, though his spotty putting history there tempers enthusiasm. Bryson DeChambeau (6.5%) leverages massive driving distance and a T6 finish last year, while Jon Rahm (6.3%) returns healthy from foot issues with strong LIV form as 2023 champ. Ludvig Aberg (5.9%) impresses as a rookie standout with precision irons. In this wide-open field, course history, tee-to-green prowess, and benign weather forecasts differentiate leaders from a crowded peloton prone to putting woes and upsets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourScottie Scheffler 18%
Rory McIlroy 10%
Bryson Dechambeau 7%
Jon Rahm 6.3%
$50,271,102 Vol.
$50,271,102 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
18%
Rory McIlroy
10%
Bryson Dechambeau
7%
Jon Rahm
6%
Ludvig Aberg
6%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Cameron Young
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Matt Fitzpatrick
3%
Justin Rose
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Justin Thomas
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Jason Day
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Tiger Woods
1%
Thomas Detry
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Sergio Garcia
1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 18%
Rory McIlroy 10%
Bryson Dechambeau 7%
Jon Rahm 6.3%
$50,271,102 Vol.
$50,271,102 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
18%
Rory McIlroy
10%
Bryson Dechambeau
7%
Jon Rahm
6%
Ludvig Aberg
6%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Cameron Young
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Matt Fitzpatrick
3%
Justin Rose
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Justin Thomas
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Jason Day
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Tiger Woods
1%
Thomas Detry
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Sergio Garcia
1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler's elite ball-striking and title defense at Augusta National anchor his 17.5% implied probability, fueled by three wins already in 2025—including the Players Championship—and top rankings in strokes gained approach, giving him an edge on Augusta's demanding fairways and greens. Rory McIlroy trails at 9.5% amid career grand slam hype and recent victories like Pebble Beach, though his spotty putting history there tempers enthusiasm. Bryson DeChambeau (6.5%) leverages massive driving distance and a T6 finish last year, while Jon Rahm (6.3%) returns healthy from foot issues with strong LIV form as 2023 champ. Ludvig Aberg (5.9%) impresses as a rookie standout with precision irons. In this wide-open field, course history, tee-to-green prowess, and benign weather forecasts differentiate leaders from a crowded peloton prone to putting woes and upsets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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