Alphabet’s current market capitalization near $4.2 trillion reflects robust Q2 2026 results, with revenues rising 24% year-over-year and Google Cloud surging 82% on AI infrastructure and Gemini Enterprise demand. Traders assign the highest implied probability (27%) to the $4.00–4.50 trillion bin at year-end, as heavy 2026 capex guidance of $195–205 billion tempers optimism despite Search and YouTube resilience. Closely contested odds across the $4–5 trillion range underscore uncertainty over whether accelerating AI adoption and backlog growth ($514 billion) can overcome elevated spending and potential regulatory pressures before December 31, with upcoming Q3 earnings as the next key catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$4.00-$4.50T 27%
$4.50-$5.00T 20%
$3.50-$4.00T 18%
<$3.50T 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
<$3.50T
16%
$3.50-$4.00T
18%
$4.00-$4.50T
27%
$4.50-$5.00T
20%
$5.00-$5.50T
14%
$5.50-$6.00T
9%
6,00 billion $+
8%
$4.00-$4.50T 27%
$4.50-$5.00T 20%
$3.50-$4.00T 18%
<$3.50T 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
<$3.50T
$153 Vol.
16%
$3.50-$4.00T
$0 Vol.
18%
$4.00-$4.50T
$131 Vol.
27%
$4.50-$5.00T
$15 Vol.
20%
$5.00-$5.50T
$34 Vol.
14%
$5.50-$6.00T
$37 Vol.
9%
6,00 billion $+
$450 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Alphabet’s current market capitalization near $4.2 trillion reflects robust Q2 2026 results, with revenues rising 24% year-over-year and Google Cloud surging 82% on AI infrastructure and Gemini Enterprise demand. Traders assign the highest implied probability (27%) to the $4.00–4.50 trillion bin at year-end, as heavy 2026 capex guidance of $195–205 billion tempers optimism despite Search and YouTube resilience. Closely contested odds across the $4–5 trillion range underscore uncertainty over whether accelerating AI adoption and backlog growth ($514 billion) can overcome elevated spending and potential regulatory pressures before December 31, with upcoming Q3 earnings as the next key catalyst.
This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Marché ouvert : Aug 5, 2026, 8:01 AM ET
Volume
$820Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 8:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Alphabet’s current market capitalization near $4.2 trillion reflects robust Q2 2026 results, with revenues rising 24% year-over-year and Google Cloud surging 82% on AI infrastructure and Gemini Enterprise demand. Traders assign the highest implied probability (27%) to the $4.00–4.50 trillion bin at year-end, as heavy 2026 capex guidance of $195–205 billion tempers optimism despite Search and YouTube resilience. Closely contested odds across the $4–5 trillion range underscore uncertainty over whether accelerating AI adoption and backlog growth ($514 billion) can overcome elevated spending and potential regulatory pressures before December 31, with upcoming Q3 earnings as the next key catalyst.
This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volume
$820Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 5, 2026, 8:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Alphabet’s current market capitalization near $4.2 trillion reflects robust Q2 2026 results, with revenues rising 24% year-over-year and Google Cloud surging 82% on AI infrastructure and Gemini Enterprise demand. Traders assign the highest implied probability (27%) to the $4.00–4.50 trillion bin at year-end, as heavy 2026 capex guidance of $195–205 billion tempers optimism despite Search and YouTube resilience. Closely contested odds across the $4–5 trillion range underscore uncertainty over whether accelerating AI adoption and backlog growth ($514 billion) can overcome elevated spending and potential regulatory pressures before December 31, with upcoming Q3 earnings as the next key catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of August 2026?
62%
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of September 2026?
24%
La capitalisation boursière d'Amazon sera-t-elle comprise entre 3,00 T$ et 3,50 T$ à la fin de 2026 ?
28%
Oui
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