Global seismic monitoring by the USGS indicates an average of 15–16 magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes occur worldwide each year, with six recorded so far in 2026 including a 7.8 near the Philippines on June 7. Recent activity aligns with historical patterns on major fault systems, where tectonic stress release follows variable but statistically consistent intervals rather than predictable cycles. Trader sentiment reflects this baseline frequency alongside the inherent uncertainty in short-term forecasting, as individual events depend on localized stress accumulation undetectable in advance. Continuous USGS real-time catalogs and magnitude threshold definitions remain the key data releases influencing resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourUn autre séisme de 7,0 ou plus de... ?
Un autre séisme de 7,0 ou plus de... ?
$58,891 Vol.
31 mai 2026
30 avril
Non
15 mai
Non
30 mai
Non
June 30
Yes
$58,891 Vol.
30 avril
$13,247 Vol.
Non
15 mai
$10,052 Vol.
Non
30 mai
$31,297 Vol.
Non
June 30
$4,294 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic monitoring by the USGS indicates an average of 15–16 magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes occur worldwide each year, with six recorded so far in 2026 including a 7.8 near the Philippines on June 7. Recent activity aligns with historical patterns on major fault systems, where tectonic stress release follows variable but statistically consistent intervals rather than predictable cycles. Trader sentiment reflects this baseline frequency alongside the inherent uncertainty in short-term forecasting, as individual events depend on localized stress accumulation undetectable in advance. Continuous USGS real-time catalogs and magnitude threshold definitions remain the key data releases influencing resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Marché ouvert : Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Volume
$58,891Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic monitoring by the USGS indicates an average of 15–16 magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes occur worldwide each year, with six recorded so far in 2026 including a 7.8 near the Philippines on June 7. Recent activity aligns with historical patterns on major fault systems, where tectonic stress release follows variable but statistically consistent intervals rather than predictable cycles. Trader sentiment reflects this baseline frequency alongside the inherent uncertainty in short-term forecasting, as individual events depend on localized stress accumulation undetectable in advance. Continuous USGS real-time catalogs and magnitude threshold definitions remain the key data releases influencing resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volume
$58,891Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Global seismic monitoring by the USGS indicates an average of 15–16 magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes occur worldwide each year, with six recorded so far in 2026 including a 7.8 near the Philippines on June 7. Recent activity aligns with historical patterns on major fault systems, where tectonic stress release follows variable but statistically consistent intervals rather than predictable cycles. Trader sentiment reflects this baseline frequency alongside the inherent uncertainty in short-term forecasting, as individual events depend on localized stress accumulation undetectable in advance. Continuous USGS real-time catalogs and magnitude threshold definitions remain the key data releases influencing resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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