Trader consensus prices a near-certain "No" at 98.5% for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei facing arrest, reflecting the absence of any credible reports of criminal investigations, indictments, or charges by DOJ, FBI, or other agencies. Recent developments focus on Anthropic's civil lawsuit against Pentagon blacklisting over the firm's refusal to supply AI models for mass surveillance or autonomous weapons, with Amodei holding productive White House meetings last week with Chief of Staff Susie Wiles and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on cybersecurity and AI safety collaboration. A federal judge rejected DOJ's bid to delay Anthropic's appeal on April 24, highlighting policy clashes rather than personal legal jeopardy. Realistic shifts would require unforeseen charges, such as export control violations or unrelated financial probes, amid ongoing national security debates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$158,756 Vol.
$158,756 Vol.
30 juin 2026
Oui
$158,756 Vol.
$158,756 Vol.
30 juin 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices a near-certain "No" at 98.5% for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei facing arrest, reflecting the absence of any credible reports of criminal investigations, indictments, or charges by DOJ, FBI, or other agencies. Recent developments focus on Anthropic's civil lawsuit against Pentagon blacklisting over the firm's refusal to supply AI models for mass surveillance or autonomous weapons, with Amodei holding productive White House meetings last week with Chief of Staff Susie Wiles and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on cybersecurity and AI safety collaboration. A federal judge rejected DOJ's bid to delay Anthropic's appeal on April 24, highlighting policy clashes rather than personal legal jeopardy. Realistic shifts would require unforeseen charges, such as export control violations or unrelated financial probes, amid ongoing national security debates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volume
$158,756Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices a near-certain "No" at 98.5% for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei facing arrest, reflecting the absence of any credible reports of criminal investigations, indictments, or charges by DOJ, FBI, or other agencies. Recent developments focus on Anthropic's civil lawsuit against Pentagon blacklisting over the firm's refusal to supply AI models for mass surveillance or autonomous weapons, with Amodei holding productive White House meetings last week with Chief of Staff Susie Wiles and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on cybersecurity and AI safety collaboration. A federal judge rejected DOJ's bid to delay Anthropic's appeal on April 24, highlighting policy clashes rather than personal legal jeopardy. Realistic shifts would require unforeseen charges, such as export control violations or unrelated financial probes, amid ongoing national security debates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$158,756Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a near-certain "No" at 98.5% for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei facing arrest, reflecting the absence of any credible reports of criminal investigations, indictments, or charges by DOJ, FBI, or other agencies. Recent developments focus on Anthropic's civil lawsuit against Pentagon blacklisting over the firm's refusal to supply AI models for mass surveillance or autonomous weapons, with Amodei holding productive White House meetings last week with Chief of Staff Susie Wiles and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on cybersecurity and AI safety collaboration. A federal judge rejected DOJ's bid to delay Anthropic's appeal on April 24, highlighting policy clashes rather than personal legal jeopardy. Realistic shifts would require unforeseen charges, such as export control violations or unrelated financial probes, amid ongoing national security debates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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