Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.4% for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei facing arrest by June 30, 2026, reflecting the complete absence of any criminal charges, indictments, or DOJ or FBI investigations against him. Recent civil litigation with the Department of Defense over a "supply chain risk" designation tied to Anthropic's refusal to remove AI safety guardrails from its Claude model has dominated headlines, including appeals court denials of stays and a judge rejecting DOJ bids to delay proceedings, but these remain non-criminal contract disputes. Amodei's meetings with Trump administration officials, including White House staff, signal thawing tensions without escalation to prosecution. Realistic shifts would require unforeseen criminal allegations, such as national security violations, though no evidence supports this path.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$157,049 Vol.
$157,049 Vol.
30 juin 2026
Oui
$157,049 Vol.
$157,049 Vol.
30 juin 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.4% for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei facing arrest by June 30, 2026, reflecting the complete absence of any criminal charges, indictments, or DOJ or FBI investigations against him. Recent civil litigation with the Department of Defense over a "supply chain risk" designation tied to Anthropic's refusal to remove AI safety guardrails from its Claude model has dominated headlines, including appeals court denials of stays and a judge rejecting DOJ bids to delay proceedings, but these remain non-criminal contract disputes. Amodei's meetings with Trump administration officials, including White House staff, signal thawing tensions without escalation to prosecution. Realistic shifts would require unforeseen criminal allegations, such as national security violations, though no evidence supports this path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volume
$157,049Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.4% for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei facing arrest by June 30, 2026, reflecting the complete absence of any criminal charges, indictments, or DOJ or FBI investigations against him. Recent civil litigation with the Department of Defense over a "supply chain risk" designation tied to Anthropic's refusal to remove AI safety guardrails from its Claude model has dominated headlines, including appeals court denials of stays and a judge rejecting DOJ bids to delay proceedings, but these remain non-criminal contract disputes. Amodei's meetings with Trump administration officials, including White House staff, signal thawing tensions without escalation to prosecution. Realistic shifts would require unforeseen criminal allegations, such as national security violations, though no evidence supports this path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$157,049Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.4% for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei facing arrest by June 30, 2026, reflecting the complete absence of any criminal charges, indictments, or DOJ or FBI investigations against him. Recent civil litigation with the Department of Defense over a "supply chain risk" designation tied to Anthropic's refusal to remove AI safety guardrails from its Claude model has dominated headlines, including appeals court denials of stays and a judge rejecting DOJ bids to delay proceedings, but these remain non-criminal contract disputes. Amodei's meetings with Trump administration officials, including White House staff, signal thawing tensions without escalation to prosecution. Realistic shifts would require unforeseen criminal allegations, such as national security violations, though no evidence supports this path.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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