Harry Kane leads trader sentiment for the 2026 Ballon d'Or at 27% implied probability, driven by his record 2025-26 club campaign at Bayern Munich that included over 60 goals, the Bundesliga title, and DFB-Pokal success. This positions the England captain ahead of younger talents like Lamine Yamal, whose Barcelona form and playmaking have kept him prominent at 16%. Midfield and attacking contributors such as Ousmane Dembélé, Michael Olise, and Vitinha sit in the next tier, reflecting strong domestic output but less decisive individual hardware. With the World Cup group stage underway, national-team performances in knockout rounds represent the primary remaining differentiator among this wide field, as historical patterns show major-tournament impact often elevates frontrunners or enables breakthroughs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur du Ballond'Or 2026
Harry Kane 27.9%
Lamine Yamal 16%
Ousmane Dembélé 12.3%
Vitinha 8.9%
$4,131,118 Vol.
$4,131,118 Vol.
Harry Kane
28%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Ousmane Dembélé
12%
Vitinha
9%
Michael Olise
9%
Kylian Mbappé
9%
Cristiano Ronaldo
5%
Declan Rice
4%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
3%
Bruno Fernandes
3%
Vinícius Júnior
2%
Erling Haaland
2%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
Pedri
1%
Julian Alvarez
1%
Achraf Hakimi
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Raphinha
1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Harry Kane 27.9%
Lamine Yamal 16%
Ousmane Dembélé 12.3%
Vitinha 8.9%
$4,131,118 Vol.
$4,131,118 Vol.
Harry Kane
28%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Ousmane Dembélé
12%
Vitinha
9%
Michael Olise
9%
Kylian Mbappé
9%
Cristiano Ronaldo
5%
Declan Rice
4%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
3%
Bruno Fernandes
3%
Vinícius Júnior
2%
Erling Haaland
2%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
Pedri
1%
Julian Alvarez
1%
Achraf Hakimi
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Raphinha
1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Marché ouvert : Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads trader sentiment for the 2026 Ballon d'Or at 27% implied probability, driven by his record 2025-26 club campaign at Bayern Munich that included over 60 goals, the Bundesliga title, and DFB-Pokal success. This positions the England captain ahead of younger talents like Lamine Yamal, whose Barcelona form and playmaking have kept him prominent at 16%. Midfield and attacking contributors such as Ousmane Dembélé, Michael Olise, and Vitinha sit in the next tier, reflecting strong domestic output but less decisive individual hardware. With the World Cup group stage underway, national-team performances in knockout rounds represent the primary remaining differentiator among this wide field, as historical patterns show major-tournament impact often elevates frontrunners or enables breakthroughs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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