Harry Kane leads market-implied odds for a top-three Ballon d’Or finish after a record 73-goal 2025-26 campaign with Bayern Munich that delivered the Bundesliga title and domestic double, backed by England’s strong World Cup showing. Spain’s tournament triumph elevates Lamine Yamal and Rodri as the clearest challengers, while Kylian Mbappé’s club form and Lionel Messi’s late-career resurgence keep them in the mix. The 30-man shortlist dropped in early September, with the ceremony set for October 26 in London—the first outside Paris—where guild-style voting by journalists and captains will decide final placements. Late-season club results and any surprise World Cup echoes could still shift the tight middle order.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$110,982 Vol.
Harry Kane
92%
Lamine Yamal
83%
Kylian Mbappé
53%
Lionel Messi
42%
Rodri
30%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
16%
Ousmane Dembélé
14%
Michael Olise
9%
Pau Cubarsi
4%
Fabian Ruiz
3%
Jude Bellingham
3%
Achraf Hakimi
2%
Luis Diaz
2%
Vitinha
2%
Erling Haaland
2%
Vinícius Júnior
2%
Declan Rice
2%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
$110,982 Vol.
Harry Kane
92%
Lamine Yamal
83%
Kylian Mbappé
53%
Lionel Messi
42%
Rodri
30%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
16%
Ousmane Dembélé
14%
Michael Olise
9%
Pau Cubarsi
4%
Fabian Ruiz
3%
Jude Bellingham
3%
Achraf Hakimi
2%
Luis Diaz
2%
Vitinha
2%
Erling Haaland
2%
Vinícius Júnior
2%
Declan Rice
2%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 7, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
Résolveur
0x65070BE91...If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Résolveur
0x65070BE91...Harry Kane leads market-implied odds for a top-three Ballon d’Or finish after a record 73-goal 2025-26 campaign with Bayern Munich that delivered the Bundesliga title and domestic double, backed by England’s strong World Cup showing. Spain’s tournament triumph elevates Lamine Yamal and Rodri as the clearest challengers, while Kylian Mbappé’s club form and Lionel Messi’s late-career resurgence keep them in the mix. The 30-man shortlist dropped in early September, with the ceremony set for October 26 in London—the first outside Paris—where guild-style voting by journalists and captains will decide final placements. Late-season club results and any surprise World Cup echoes could still shift the tight middle order.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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