Nominations for the 2026 Emmys, announced July 8, have created a dead-heat market among five contenders for Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series. Yahya Abdul-Mateen II’s Marvel turn in Wonder Man, Steve Carell’s campus comedy lead in Rooster, Martin Short’s established Oliver Putnam in Only Murders in the Building, Matthew Rhys in Widow’s Bay, and Jason Segel’s Shrinking performance all sit within a point of one another. Traders see no dominant frontrunner yet, with sentiment shaped by each actor’s prior Emmy pedigree, show momentum, and the category’s historical openness to both veterans and breakout performances. The September ceremony remains the key resolution catalyst, where guild buzz, critical consensus, and voter fatigue could still shift the narrow odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourEmmys 2026 : Meilleur acteur principal dans une série comique
Emmys 2026 : Meilleur acteur principal dans une série comique
Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” 87.4%
Martin Short – “Only Murders in the Building” 8.9%
Jason Segel – “Shrinking” 3.3%
Steve Carell – “Rooster” 2.1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay”
87%
Martin Short – “Only Murders in the Building”
9%
Jason Segel – “Shrinking”
3%
Steve Carell – “Rooster”
2%
Yahya Abdul-Mateen II – “Wonder Man”
1%
Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” 87.4%
Martin Short – “Only Murders in the Building” 8.9%
Jason Segel – “Shrinking” 3.3%
Steve Carell – “Rooster” 2.1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 sept. 2026
Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay”
$5,450 Vol.
87%
Martin Short – “Only Murders in the Building”
$1,199 Vol.
9%
Jason Segel – “Shrinking”
$180 Vol.
3%
Steve Carell – “Rooster”
$377 Vol.
2%
Yahya Abdul-Mateen II – “Wonder Man”
$280 Vol.
1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nominations for the 2026 Emmys, announced July 8, have created a dead-heat market among five contenders for Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series. Yahya Abdul-Mateen II’s Marvel turn in Wonder Man, Steve Carell’s campus comedy lead in Rooster, Martin Short’s established Oliver Putnam in Only Murders in the Building, Matthew Rhys in Widow’s Bay, and Jason Segel’s Shrinking performance all sit within a point of one another. Traders see no dominant frontrunner yet, with sentiment shaped by each actor’s prior Emmy pedigree, show momentum, and the category’s historical openness to both veterans and breakout performances. The September ceremony remains the key resolution catalyst, where guild buzz, critical consensus, and voter fatigue could still shift the narrow odds.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 9, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$7,485Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nominations for the 2026 Emmys, announced July 8, have created a dead-heat market among five contenders for Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series. Yahya Abdul-Mateen II’s Marvel turn in Wonder Man, Steve Carell’s campus comedy lead in Rooster, Martin Short’s established Oliver Putnam in Only Murders in the Building, Matthew Rhys in Widow’s Bay, and Jason Segel’s Shrinking performance all sit within a point of one another. Traders see no dominant frontrunner yet, with sentiment shaped by each actor’s prior Emmy pedigree, show momentum, and the category’s historical openness to both veterans and breakout performances. The September ceremony remains the key resolution catalyst, where guild buzz, critical consensus, and voter fatigue could still shift the narrow odds.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,485Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Nominations for the 2026 Emmys, announced July 8, have created a dead-heat market among five contenders for Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series. Yahya Abdul-Mateen II’s Marvel turn in Wonder Man, Steve Carell’s campus comedy lead in Rooster, Martin Short’s established Oliver Putnam in Only Murders in the Building, Matthew Rhys in Widow’s Bay, and Jason Segel’s Shrinking performance all sit within a point of one another. Traders see no dominant frontrunner yet, with sentiment shaped by each actor’s prior Emmy pedigree, show momentum, and the category’s historical openness to both veterans and breakout performances. The September ceremony remains the key resolution catalyst, where guild buzz, critical consensus, and voter fatigue could still shift the narrow odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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