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icon for Oscars 2027 : Meilleur acteur

Oscars 2027 : Meilleur acteur

icon for Oscars 2027 : Meilleur acteur

Oscars 2027 : Meilleur acteur

John Malkovich 29.0%

Matt Damon 27%

Andrew Scott 18%

Tom Cruise 15%

Polymarket

$115,431 Vol.

John Malkovich 29.0%

Matt Damon 27%

Andrew Scott 18%

Tom Cruise 15%

Polymarket

$115,431 Vol.

icon for John Malkovich

John Malkovich

$7,153 Vol.

29%

icon for Matt Damon

Matt Damon

$34,077 Vol.

27%

icon for Andrew Scott

Andrew Scott

$12,034 Vol.

18%

icon for Tom Cruise

Tom Cruise

$11,044 Vol.

15%

icon for Robert Pattinson

Robert Pattinson

$4,364 Vol.

9%

icon for Jeremy Strong

Jeremy Strong

$4,039 Vol.

3%

icon for Sebastian Stan

Sebastian Stan

$2,765 Vol.

2%

icon for Ryan Gosling

Ryan Gosling

$4,778 Vol.

2%

icon for Timothée Chalamet

Timothée Chalamet

$3,693 Vol.

1%

icon for Jaafar Jackson

Jaafar Jackson

$4,211 Vol.

1%

icon for Sam Rockwell

Sam Rockwell

$4,572 Vol.

1%

icon for Pedro Pascal

Pedro Pascal

$3,076 Vol.

1%

icon for Javier Bardem

Javier Bardem

$2,900 Vol.

<1%

icon for Brad Pitt

Brad Pitt

$8,112 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adam Driver

Adam Driver

$2,373 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert Aramayo

Robert Aramayo

$3,115 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Turturro

John Turturro

$1,587 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$1,537 Vol.

<1%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Actor race reflects a tightly contested early field anchored by Matt Damon’s physically demanding lead turn as Odysseus in Christopher Nolan’s summer blockbuster The Odyssey and John Malkovich’s career-highlight performance as a reflective CIA operative in Martin McDonagh’s Wild Horse Nine.** Recent Venice and Telluride buzz has lifted Malkovich into the narrow lead at 29.4% implied probability, narrowing the gap with Damon at 26.5% as critics highlight both films’ awards trajectories. Andrew Scott (18.0%) benefits from strong precursor positioning in a prestige drama, while Tom Cruise (13.5%) draws support from the perennial “first Oscar” narrative in Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s Digger. Lower-priced contenders like Robert Pattinson, Jeremy Strong, and Sebastian Stan await fall festival reactions and guild nominations to clarify momentum, underscoring how critical reception, overdue narratives, and blockbuster scale continue to shape the wide-open contest ahead of nominations.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$115,431
Date de fin
14 mars 2027
Marché ouvert
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Actor race reflects a tightly contested early field anchored by Matt Damon’s physically demanding lead turn as Odysseus in Christopher Nolan’s summer blockbuster The Odyssey and John Malkovich’s career-highlight performance as a reflective CIA operative in Martin McDonagh’s Wild Horse Nine.** Recent Venice and Telluride buzz has lifted Malkovich into the narrow lead at 29.4% implied probability, narrowing the gap with Damon at 26.5% as critics highlight both films’ awards trajectories. Andrew Scott (18.0%) benefits from strong precursor positioning in a prestige drama, while Tom Cruise (13.5%) draws support from the perennial “first Oscar” narrative in Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s Digger. Lower-priced contenders like Robert Pattinson, Jeremy Strong, and Sebastian Stan await fall festival reactions and guild nominations to clarify momentum, underscoring how critical reception, overdue narratives, and blockbuster scale continue to shape the wide-open contest ahead of nominations.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$115,431
Date de fin
14 mars 2027
Marché ouvert
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

88%
icon for Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

52%
icon for Will The Odyssey win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will The Odyssey win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?

51%

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Oscars 2027 : Meilleur acteur » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 18 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « John Malkovich » à 29%, suivi de « Matt Damon » à 27%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 29¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 29% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Oscars 2027 : Meilleur acteur » a généré $115.4K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jul 28, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Oscars 2027 : Meilleur acteur », parcourez les 18 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Oscars 2027 : Meilleur acteur » est « John Malkovich » à 29%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 29% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Matt Damon » à 27%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Oscars 2027 : Meilleur acteur » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.