HBO Max’s commanding lead in 2026 Emmy nominations—122 total, driven by heavy hauls for The Pitt and Hacks—has anchored trader consensus at 66.5% implied probability it will claim the most wins. Netflix sits second with 111 nods across a broader slate, keeping its odds at 24.5% but highlighting the gap in per-show depth. Apple TV+ trails at 10.7% on the strength of a few prestige contenders, while the sub-1% pricing on every other platform reflects negligible nomination volume and historical precedent that favors established Emmy powerhouses. With the September 14 ceremony still weeks away, late critical momentum or surprise acting wins could narrow the race, yet the nomination disparity continues to shape market pricing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourQuel service de streaming remportera le plus d'Emmys ?
HBO Max 67%
Netflix 25%
Apple TV 10.7%
Hulu <1%
$53,177 Vol.
$53,177 Vol.

HBO Max
67%

Netflix
25%

Apple TV
11%

Hulu
<1%

Disney+
<1%

Prime Video
<1%

Peacock
<1%

Paramount+
<1%
HBO Max 67%
Netflix 25%
Apple TV 10.7%
Hulu <1%
$53,177 Vol.
$53,177 Vol.

HBO Max
67%

Netflix
25%

Apple TV
11%

Hulu
<1%

Disney+
<1%

Prime Video
<1%

Peacock
<1%

Paramount+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the streaming service which wins the greatest number of Emmys at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards.
An Emmy will be attributed to a streaming service if the show for which the award is won is officially attributed to that streaming service, whether the recipient is a person, the show itself, or any other entity. For example, if Steve Carell wins "Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series" for his performance in "Rooster", that win would be attributed to HBO Max.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of Emmys, this market will resolve in favor of the streaming service whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If all 78th Primetime Emmy Awards have not been awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the Emmys awarded up until that point. If no Emmys are awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Television Academy, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.televisionacademy.com/), and the live broadcasts of the Creative Arts Emmys and the Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the streaming service which wins the greatest number of Emmys at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards.
An Emmy will be attributed to a streaming service if the show for which the award is won is officially attributed to that streaming service, whether the recipient is a person, the show itself, or any other entity. For example, if Steve Carell wins "Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series" for his performance in "Rooster", that win would be attributed to HBO Max.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of Emmys, this market will resolve in favor of the streaming service whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If all 78th Primetime Emmy Awards have not been awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the Emmys awarded up until that point. If no Emmys are awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Television Academy, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.televisionacademy.com/), and the live broadcasts of the Creative Arts Emmys and the Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...HBO Max’s commanding lead in 2026 Emmy nominations—122 total, driven by heavy hauls for The Pitt and Hacks—has anchored trader consensus at 66.5% implied probability it will claim the most wins. Netflix sits second with 111 nods across a broader slate, keeping its odds at 24.5% but highlighting the gap in per-show depth. Apple TV+ trails at 10.7% on the strength of a few prestige contenders, while the sub-1% pricing on every other platform reflects negligible nomination volume and historical precedent that favors established Emmy powerhouses. With the September 14 ceremony still weeks away, late critical momentum or surprise acting wins could narrow the race, yet the nomination disparity continues to shape market pricing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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