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icon for Lauréat du prix Nobel de la paix 2026
Politique·Récompenses

Lauréat du prix Nobel de la paix 2026

icon for Lauréat du prix Nobel de la paix 2026
Politique·Récompenses

Lauréat du prix Nobel de la paix 2026

Salles d'Urgence du Soudan 13.1%

Save the Children 9.8%

Yulia Navalnaya 8%

La Cour internationale de Justice 5.4%

Polymarket

$24,444,734 Vol.

Salles d'Urgence du Soudan 13.1%

Save the Children 9.8%

Yulia Navalnaya 8%

La Cour internationale de Justice 5.4%

Polymarket

$24,444,734 Vol.

icon for Salles d'Urgence du Soudan

Salles d'Urgence du Soudan

$24,552 Vol.

13%

icon for Save the Children

Save the Children

$9,952 Vol.

10%

icon for Yulia Navalnaya

Yulia Navalnaya

$299,749 Vol.

8%

icon for La Cour internationale de Justice

La Cour internationale de Justice

$916,822 Vol.

5%

icon for UNRWA

UNRWA

$2,055,384 Vol.

5%

icon for Comité pour la protection des journalistes

Comité pour la protection des journalistes

$6,509 Vol.

4%

icon for Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$828,438 Vol.

3%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$5,013,625 Vol.

2%

icon for Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$790,791 Vol.

2%

icon for Chow Hang-tung

Chow Hang-tung

$14,368 Vol.

2%

icon for Greta Thunberg

Greta Thunberg

$1,474,782 Vol.

1%

icon for Titre de l’élément de groupe : António Guterres

Titre de l’élément de groupe : António Guterres

$642,434 Vol.

1%

icon for Pope Leo XIV

Pope Leo XIV

$823,574 Vol.

1%

icon for Ahmed al-Sharaa

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$1,275,111 Vol.

1%

icon for World Central Kitchen

World Central Kitchen

$3,646 Vol.

1%

icon for Reporters sans frontières

Reporters sans frontières

$3,299 Vol.

1%

icon for Narendra Modi

Narendra Modi

$689,508 Vol.

1%

icon for Sara Al-Saqqa

Sara Al-Saqqa

$3,762 Vol.

1%

icon for CICR

CICR

$3,490 Vol.

1%

icon for Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

$3,117 Vol.

1%

icon for Julian Assange

Julian Assange

$857,345 Vol.

<1%

icon for Xi Jinping

Xi Jinping

$1,436,538 Vol.

<1%

icon for Benjamin Netanyahu

Benjamin Netanyahu

$712,551 Vol.

<1%

icon for HCR

HCR

$4,076 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$1,199,419 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vladimir Poutine

Vladimir Poutine

$922,844 Vol.

<1%

icon for Khaled Mashal

Khaled Mashal

$881,142 Vol.

<1%

icon for Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$1,068,224 Vol.

<1%

icon for Charlie Kirk

Charlie Kirk

$1,281,384 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mohammed bin Salman

Mohammed bin Salman

$1,193,670 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hussam Abu Safiya

Hussam Abu Safiya

$4,628 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms lead Polymarket’s 2026 Nobel Peace Prize market at 13.1% implied probability, driven by their grassroots humanitarian networks delivering food, medical care, and evacuations amid Sudan’s ongoing civil war. Traders see this as a timely narrative of local resilience and decolonized aid, bolstered by recent wins like the Right Livelihood Award. Save the Children and Yulia Navalnaya trail at 9.8% and 7.5%, reflecting broader interest in established NGOs and symbolic resistance figures. With no dominant frontrunner and probabilities tightly clustered below 15%, the field remains fluid ahead of the October 9 announcement, where the Norwegian Nobel Committee’s preference for organizations or under-the-radar activists could shift momentum quickly.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volume
$24,444,734
Date de fin
1 avr. 2027
Marché ouvert
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms lead Polymarket’s 2026 Nobel Peace Prize market at 13.1% implied probability, driven by their grassroots humanitarian networks delivering food, medical care, and evacuations amid Sudan’s ongoing civil war. Traders see this as a timely narrative of local resilience and decolonized aid, bolstered by recent wins like the Right Livelihood Award. Save the Children and Yulia Navalnaya trail at 9.8% and 7.5%, reflecting broader interest in established NGOs and symbolic resistance figures. With no dominant frontrunner and probabilities tightly clustered below 15%, the field remains fluid ahead of the October 9 announcement, where the Norwegian Nobel Committee’s preference for organizations or under-the-radar activists could shift momentum quickly.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volume
$24,444,734
Date de fin
1 avr. 2027
Marché ouvert
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...

Connexes

icon for Trump, Poutine et Zelensky vus ensemble avant 2027 ?

Trump, Poutine et Zelensky vus ensemble avant 2027 ?

8%
Oui
icon for Trump, Poutine et Zelensky se rencontreront-ils ensemble avant 2027 ?

Trump, Poutine et Zelensky se rencontreront-ils ensemble avant 2027 ?

5%
Oui
icon for Josh Allen va-t-il remporter le titre de MVP de la NFL en 2026 ?

Josh Allen va-t-il remporter le titre de MVP de la NFL en 2026 ?

32%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Lauréat du prix Nobel de la paix 2026 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 31 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Salles d'Urgence du Soudan » à 13%, suivi de « Save the Children » à 10%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 13¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 13% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Lauréat du prix Nobel de la paix 2026 » a généré $24.4 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Oct 16, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Lauréat du prix Nobel de la paix 2026 », parcourez les 31 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Lauréat du prix Nobel de la paix 2026 » est « Salles d'Urgence du Soudan » à 13%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 13% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Save the Children » à 10%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Lauréat du prix Nobel de la paix 2026 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.