Trader consensus on the 2026 AL Cy Young reflects a fiercely competitive pitching landscape, with Dylan Cease's 24.8% implied probability edging Tarik Skubal's 23.5% amid expectations Cease enters free agency after 2025 and joins an AL contender, leveraging his elite strikeout rate from a strong 2024 Padres campaign. Skubal, the reigning winner with dominant 2.39 ERA and 228 innings, anchors the market but faces repeat skepticism on a middling Tigers roster lacking win support. Close behind, George Kirby's pinpoint control and Jacob deGrom's ace upside—if healthy—add volatility, while Garrett Crochet's breakout velocity fuels his 11% share. Parity in peripherals, injury risks, and team contexts keep the field bunched, underscoring AL's depth of high-upside arms.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourMLB : Vainqueur 2026 AL Cy Young
MLB : Vainqueur 2026 AL Cy Young
Tarik Skubal 19%
Garrett Crochet 15%
George Kirby 12.0%
Jacob deGrom 12%
Tarik Skubal
24%
Garrett Crochet
11%
Jacob deGrom
12%
Cole Ragans
7%
Hunter Brown
8%
Max Fried
10%
Bryan Woo
10%
Logan Gilbert
3%
Kyle Bradish
2%
Joe Ryan
2%
Ranger Suarez
6%
Nathan Eovaldi
6%
Dylan Cease
25%
George Kirby
12%
Carlos Rodón
5%
Kevin Gausman
2%
MacKenzie Gore
6%
Jose Soriano
5%
Pablo Lopez
6%
Gavin Williams
4%
Bryce Miller
6%
Cam Schlittler
6%
Gerrit Cole
4%
Tarik Skubal 19%
Garrett Crochet 15%
George Kirby 12.0%
Jacob deGrom 12%
Tarik Skubal
24%
Garrett Crochet
11%
Jacob deGrom
12%
Cole Ragans
7%
Hunter Brown
8%
Max Fried
10%
Bryan Woo
10%
Logan Gilbert
3%
Kyle Bradish
2%
Joe Ryan
2%
Ranger Suarez
6%
Nathan Eovaldi
6%
Dylan Cease
25%
George Kirby
12%
Carlos Rodón
5%
Kevin Gausman
2%
MacKenzie Gore
6%
Jose Soriano
5%
Pablo Lopez
6%
Gavin Williams
4%
Bryce Miller
6%
Cam Schlittler
6%
Gerrit Cole
4%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 18, 2026, 10:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the 2026 AL Cy Young reflects a fiercely competitive pitching landscape, with Dylan Cease's 24.8% implied probability edging Tarik Skubal's 23.5% amid expectations Cease enters free agency after 2025 and joins an AL contender, leveraging his elite strikeout rate from a strong 2024 Padres campaign. Skubal, the reigning winner with dominant 2.39 ERA and 228 innings, anchors the market but faces repeat skepticism on a middling Tigers roster lacking win support. Close behind, George Kirby's pinpoint control and Jacob deGrom's ace upside—if healthy—add volatility, while Garrett Crochet's breakout velocity fuels his 11% share. Parity in peripherals, injury risks, and team contexts keep the field bunched, underscoring AL's depth of high-upside arms.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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