Aaron Judge's rib stress fracture, sidelining the two-time defending AL MVP for significant time, has reshaped the 2026 race into a tight contest between Kansas City shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. and Houston designated hitter Yordan Alvarez. Witt leads implied probabilities with strong contact hitting, stolen bases, and elite defense, while Alvarez sits close behind on the strength of a .301/.416/.634 slash line, 20 home runs, and top-tier OPS. Yankees first baseman Ben Rice has surged into third amid his power production in Judge's absence, and Athletics first baseman Nick Kurtz maintains value with consistent extra-base output. The bunched top tier reflects ongoing uncertainty over playing time, team success, and second-half adjustments in a wide-open field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourBobby Witt Jr. 33%
Yordan Alvarez 30.0%
Ben Rice 16.4%
Nick Kurtz 7.9%
$118,592 Vol.
$118,592 Vol.
Bobby Witt Jr.
33%
Yordan Alvarez
30%
Ben Rice
16%
Nick Kurtz
14%
Jose Ramirez
4%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2%
Julio Rodriguez
2%
Aaron Judge
1%
Mike Trout
1%
Cal Raleigh
1%
Corey Seager
1%
Gunnar Henderson
1%
Bobby Witt Jr. 33%
Yordan Alvarez 30.0%
Ben Rice 16.4%
Nick Kurtz 7.9%
$118,592 Vol.
$118,592 Vol.
Bobby Witt Jr.
33%
Yordan Alvarez
30%
Ben Rice
16%
Nick Kurtz
14%
Jose Ramirez
4%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2%
Julio Rodriguez
2%
Aaron Judge
1%
Mike Trout
1%
Cal Raleigh
1%
Corey Seager
1%
Gunnar Henderson
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aaron Judge's rib stress fracture, sidelining the two-time defending AL MVP for significant time, has reshaped the 2026 race into a tight contest between Kansas City shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. and Houston designated hitter Yordan Alvarez. Witt leads implied probabilities with strong contact hitting, stolen bases, and elite defense, while Alvarez sits close behind on the strength of a .301/.416/.634 slash line, 20 home runs, and top-tier OPS. Yankees first baseman Ben Rice has surged into third amid his power production in Judge's absence, and Athletics first baseman Nick Kurtz maintains value with consistent extra-base output. The bunched top tier reflects ongoing uncertainty over playing time, team success, and second-half adjustments in a wide-open field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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