Aaron Judge's rib stress fracture sidelining him for 4-6 weeks has opened the 2026 AL MVP race, shifting trader consensus toward a tight cluster led by Bobby Witt Jr. and Yordan Alvarez. Witt maintains a narrow edge through elite shortstop defense, base-stealing production, and consistent contact in the Royals lineup, while Alvarez counters with superior power output and on-base skills as the Astros' primary slugger. Ben Rice has climbed on the strength of expanded Yankees opportunities in Judge's absence, and Nick Kurtz adds value as an Athletic with rising home-run totals. The bunched probabilities reflect comparable overall value across these candidates midway through the season, with no single player separating decisively on recent form or team context.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourYordan Alvarez 30.0%
Bobby Witt Jr. 27%
Ben Rice 16.2%
Nick Kurtz 9.2%
$118,846 Vol.
$118,846 Vol.
Yordan Alvarez
30%
Bobby Witt Jr.
33%
Ben Rice
16%
Nick Kurtz
9%
Jose Ramirez
4%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3%
Julio Rodriguez
2%
Aaron Judge
1%
Cal Raleigh
1%
Mike Trout
1%
Gunnar Henderson
1%
Corey Seager
1%
Yordan Alvarez 30.0%
Bobby Witt Jr. 27%
Ben Rice 16.2%
Nick Kurtz 9.2%
$118,846 Vol.
$118,846 Vol.
Yordan Alvarez
30%
Bobby Witt Jr.
33%
Ben Rice
16%
Nick Kurtz
9%
Jose Ramirez
4%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3%
Julio Rodriguez
2%
Aaron Judge
1%
Cal Raleigh
1%
Mike Trout
1%
Gunnar Henderson
1%
Corey Seager
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aaron Judge's rib stress fracture sidelining him for 4-6 weeks has opened the 2026 AL MVP race, shifting trader consensus toward a tight cluster led by Bobby Witt Jr. and Yordan Alvarez. Witt maintains a narrow edge through elite shortstop defense, base-stealing production, and consistent contact in the Royals lineup, while Alvarez counters with superior power output and on-base skills as the Astros' primary slugger. Ben Rice has climbed on the strength of expanded Yankees opportunities in Judge's absence, and Nick Kurtz adds value as an Athletic with rising home-run totals. The bunched probabilities reflect comparable overall value across these candidates midway through the season, with no single player separating decisively on recent form or team context.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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