Aaron Judge's recent rib stress fracture, sidelining him for a significant stretch, has reshaped the 2026 AL MVP race and driven the current trader consensus reflected in these probabilities. Bobby Witt Jr. has emerged as the narrow leader on the strength of his elite defense, stolen bases, and consistent hitting for the Royals, while Yordan Alvarez sits close behind with his league-leading slash line, home runs, and RBIs for the Astros. Ben Rice has capitalized on increased opportunities with the Yankees, and Nick Kurtz provides another layer of contention for the Athletics. The bunched top probabilities highlight a wide-open field where recent form, team context, and injury recoveries could still shift momentum over the remaining schedule.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourBobby Witt Jr. 33%
Yordan Alvarez 30.7%
Ben Rice 16.6%
Nick Kurtz 7.9%
$118,393 Vol.
$118,393 Vol.
Bobby Witt Jr.
33%
Yordan Alvarez
31%
Ben Rice
17%
Nick Kurtz
11%
Jose Ramirez
4%
Aaron Judge
3%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2%
Julio Rodriguez
2%
Mike Trout
1%
Cal Raleigh
1%
Corey Seager
1%
Gunnar Henderson
<1%
Bobby Witt Jr. 33%
Yordan Alvarez 30.7%
Ben Rice 16.6%
Nick Kurtz 7.9%
$118,393 Vol.
$118,393 Vol.
Bobby Witt Jr.
33%
Yordan Alvarez
31%
Ben Rice
17%
Nick Kurtz
11%
Jose Ramirez
4%
Aaron Judge
3%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2%
Julio Rodriguez
2%
Mike Trout
1%
Cal Raleigh
1%
Corey Seager
1%
Gunnar Henderson
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aaron Judge's recent rib stress fracture, sidelining him for a significant stretch, has reshaped the 2026 AL MVP race and driven the current trader consensus reflected in these probabilities. Bobby Witt Jr. has emerged as the narrow leader on the strength of his elite defense, stolen bases, and consistent hitting for the Royals, while Yordan Alvarez sits close behind with his league-leading slash line, home runs, and RBIs for the Astros. Ben Rice has capitalized on increased opportunities with the Yankees, and Nick Kurtz provides another layer of contention for the Athletics. The bunched top probabilities highlight a wide-open field where recent form, team context, and injury recoveries could still shift momentum over the remaining schedule.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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