Aaron Judge’s rib stress fracture, sidelining the two-time defending AL MVP for an extended period, has opened the race and shifted implied probabilities toward a cluster of contenders. Bobby Witt Jr. leads with strong all-around production, including elite speed and on-base skills for the Royals, while Yordan Alvarez trails closely behind on the strength of a .316 average, 21-plus home runs, and an OPS exceeding 1.070 for the Astros. Ben Rice and Nick Kurtz have surged into contention with breakout campaigns, creating a tight four-way battle where small edges in recent form, team success, or remaining schedule could swing voter and trader consensus. The bunched pricing reflects a season still early enough for multiple paths to the award.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourBobby Witt Jr. 36%
Yordan Alvarez 30.8%
Ben Rice 16.1%
Nick Kurtz 14.6%
$118,256 Vol.
$118,256 Vol.
Bobby Witt Jr.
36%
Yordan Alvarez
31%
Ben Rice
16%
Nick Kurtz
15%
Jose Ramirez
4%
Aaron Judge
3%
Julio Rodriguez
2%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2%
Mike Trout
1%
Cal Raleigh
1%
Corey Seager
1%
Gunnar Henderson
<1%
Bobby Witt Jr. 36%
Yordan Alvarez 30.8%
Ben Rice 16.1%
Nick Kurtz 14.6%
$118,256 Vol.
$118,256 Vol.
Bobby Witt Jr.
36%
Yordan Alvarez
31%
Ben Rice
16%
Nick Kurtz
15%
Jose Ramirez
4%
Aaron Judge
3%
Julio Rodriguez
2%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2%
Mike Trout
1%
Cal Raleigh
1%
Corey Seager
1%
Gunnar Henderson
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aaron Judge’s rib stress fracture, sidelining the two-time defending AL MVP for an extended period, has opened the race and shifted implied probabilities toward a cluster of contenders. Bobby Witt Jr. leads with strong all-around production, including elite speed and on-base skills for the Royals, while Yordan Alvarez trails closely behind on the strength of a .316 average, 21-plus home runs, and an OPS exceeding 1.070 for the Astros. Ben Rice and Nick Kurtz have surged into contention with breakout campaigns, creating a tight four-way battle where small edges in recent form, team success, or remaining schedule could swing voter and trader consensus. The bunched pricing reflects a season still early enough for multiple paths to the award.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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