Aaron Judge’s rib stress fracture and extended absence have reshaped the 2026 AL MVP race, elevating Yordan Alvarez and Bobby Witt Jr. into a near deadlock at the top of trader consensus. Alvarez has posted elite power numbers and a high OPS while staying healthy as the Astros’ primary designated hitter, giving him a narrow edge in recent voting polls. Witt counters with strong all-around production, including elite defense and stolen-base totals for the Royals. Yankees teammate Ben Rice has climbed into third amid New York’s lineup adjustments, while Nick Kurtz and others trail further back. The bunched probabilities reflect a wide-open field where recent form, health, and team context continue to drive shifts in implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourYordan Alvarez 30.0%
Bobby Witt Jr. 30%
Ben Rice 16.9%
Nick Kurtz 8.9%
$118,749 Vol.
$118,749 Vol.
Yordan Alvarez
30%
Bobby Witt Jr.
30%
Ben Rice
17%
Nick Kurtz
9%
Jose Ramirez
4%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2%
Julio Rodriguez
2%
Mike Trout
1%
Aaron Judge
1%
Cal Raleigh
1%
Corey Seager
1%
Gunnar Henderson
<1%
Yordan Alvarez 30.0%
Bobby Witt Jr. 30%
Ben Rice 16.9%
Nick Kurtz 8.9%
$118,749 Vol.
$118,749 Vol.
Yordan Alvarez
30%
Bobby Witt Jr.
30%
Ben Rice
17%
Nick Kurtz
9%
Jose Ramirez
4%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2%
Julio Rodriguez
2%
Mike Trout
1%
Aaron Judge
1%
Cal Raleigh
1%
Corey Seager
1%
Gunnar Henderson
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aaron Judge’s rib stress fracture and extended absence have reshaped the 2026 AL MVP race, elevating Yordan Alvarez and Bobby Witt Jr. into a near deadlock at the top of trader consensus. Alvarez has posted elite power numbers and a high OPS while staying healthy as the Astros’ primary designated hitter, giving him a narrow edge in recent voting polls. Witt counters with strong all-around production, including elite defense and stolen-base totals for the Royals. Yankees teammate Ben Rice has climbed into third amid New York’s lineup adjustments, while Nick Kurtz and others trail further back. The bunched probabilities reflect a wide-open field where recent form, health, and team context continue to drive shifts in implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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