The Late Show with Stephen Colbert stands as the clear frontrunner in the Outstanding Variety Series race at 72.5% implied probability, driven by its record nine nominations in a final season that ended with a May 2026 finale after CBS cancellation. Industry goodwill around the send-off, combined with multiple Creative Arts Emmy wins—including writing for a variety series, breaking John Oliver’s long streak—has solidified trader consensus on its legacy momentum. New area-award rules allow voters to approve multiple nominees at a 90% threshold rather than forcing direct competition, yet Colbert’s volume of nods and narrative edge out Last Week Tonight with John Oliver, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, The Daily Show, and Saturday Night Live. The September 14 ceremony serves as the immediate catalyst for any late shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourEmmys 2026 : Meilleure série de variétés
Emmys 2026 : Meilleure série de variétés
« The Late Show With Stephen Colbert » 77%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” 6.3%
« Jimmy Kimmel Live! » 4.7%
« The Daily Show » 3.3%
$226,552 Vol.
$226,552 Vol.
14 sept. 2026
« The Late Show With Stephen Colbert »
77%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”
6%
« Jimmy Kimmel Live! »
5%
« The Daily Show »
3%
« Saturday Night Live »
3%
« The Late Show With Stephen Colbert » 77%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” 6.3%
« Jimmy Kimmel Live! » 4.7%
« The Daily Show » 3.3%
$226,552 Vol.
$226,552 Vol.
14 sept. 2026
« The Late Show With Stephen Colbert »
$66,281 Vol.
77%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”
$40,484 Vol.
6%
« Jimmy Kimmel Live! »
$50,565 Vol.
5%
« The Daily Show »
$33,237 Vol.
3%
« Saturday Night Live »
$35,986 Vol.
3%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Late Show with Stephen Colbert stands as the clear frontrunner in the Outstanding Variety Series race at 72.5% implied probability, driven by its record nine nominations in a final season that ended with a May 2026 finale after CBS cancellation. Industry goodwill around the send-off, combined with multiple Creative Arts Emmy wins—including writing for a variety series, breaking John Oliver’s long streak—has solidified trader consensus on its legacy momentum. New area-award rules allow voters to approve multiple nominees at a 90% threshold rather than forcing direct competition, yet Colbert’s volume of nods and narrative edge out Last Week Tonight with John Oliver, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, The Daily Show, and Saturday Night Live. The September 14 ceremony serves as the immediate catalyst for any late shifts.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
Volume
$226,552Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Late Show with Stephen Colbert stands as the clear frontrunner in the Outstanding Variety Series race at 72.5% implied probability, driven by its record nine nominations in a final season that ended with a May 2026 finale after CBS cancellation. Industry goodwill around the send-off, combined with multiple Creative Arts Emmy wins—including writing for a variety series, breaking John Oliver’s long streak—has solidified trader consensus on its legacy momentum. New area-award rules allow voters to approve multiple nominees at a 90% threshold rather than forcing direct competition, yet Colbert’s volume of nods and narrative edge out Last Week Tonight with John Oliver, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, The Daily Show, and Saturday Night Live. The September 14 ceremony serves as the immediate catalyst for any late shifts.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$226,552Date de fin
14 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The Late Show with Stephen Colbert stands as the clear frontrunner in the Outstanding Variety Series race at 72.5% implied probability, driven by its record nine nominations in a final season that ended with a May 2026 finale after CBS cancellation. Industry goodwill around the send-off, combined with multiple Creative Arts Emmy wins—including writing for a variety series, breaking John Oliver’s long streak—has solidified trader consensus on its legacy momentum. New area-award rules allow voters to approve multiple nominees at a 90% threshold rather than forcing direct competition, yet Colbert’s volume of nods and narrative edge out Last Week Tonight with John Oliver, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, The Daily Show, and Saturday Night Live. The September 14 ceremony serves as the immediate catalyst for any late shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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