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icon for Eurovision 2026 : Première demi-finale

Eurovision 2026 : Première demi-finale

icon for Eurovision 2026 : Première demi-finale

Eurovision 2026 : Première demi-finale

$1,064,557 Vol.

12 mai 2026
Polymarket

$1,064,557 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Israël

Israël

$52,867 Vol.

Oui

icon for Estonie

Estonie

$77,510 Vol.

Non

icon for Monténégro

Monténégro

$32,447 Vol.

Non

icon for Saint-Marin

Saint-Marin

$35,020 Vol.

Non

icon for Belgique

Belgique

$39,093 Vol.

Oui

icon for Finlande

Finlande

$394,351 Vol.

Oui

icon for Grèce

Grèce

$59,682 Vol.

Oui

icon for Lituanie

Lituanie

$32,279 Vol.

Oui

icon for Moldavie

Moldavie

$57,971 Vol.

Oui

icon for Pologne

Pologne

$52,349 Vol.

Oui

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$77,624 Vol.

Non

icon for Suède

Suède

$19,701 Vol.

Oui

icon for Croatie

Croatie

$21,041 Vol.

Oui

icon for Géorgie

Géorgie

$47,954 Vol.

Non

icon for Serbie

Serbie

$64,670 Vol.

Oui

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus in the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final market reflects overwhelming confidence in frontrunners like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen, Greece's Akylas with "Ferto," Israel's Michelle Noam Bettan, and Sweden's FELICIA "My System," driven by standout dress rehearsals on May 11 that showcased dynamic staging and televote potential. Standout previews elevated Croatia's LELEK "Andromeda," Moldova's Satoshi "Viva, Moldova!," and Serbia's LAVINA "Kraj Mene" via diaspora support, while Poland and Lithuania edged tighter races amid 15 entrants' competition. Running order revealed April 2 positioned strong openers favorably; results from tonight's Vienna show at Wiener Stadthalle will confirm the 10 grand final qualifiers, who drew halves post-announcement, with the second semi-final Thursday and final Saturday.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$1,064,557
Date de fin
12 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Résultat proposé: Oui

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Oui

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus in the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final market reflects overwhelming confidence in frontrunners like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen, Greece's Akylas with "Ferto," Israel's Michelle Noam Bettan, and Sweden's FELICIA "My System," driven by standout dress rehearsals on May 11 that showcased dynamic staging and televote potential. Standout previews elevated Croatia's LELEK "Andromeda," Moldova's Satoshi "Viva, Moldova!," and Serbia's LAVINA "Kraj Mene" via diaspora support, while Poland and Lithuania edged tighter races amid 15 entrants' competition. Running order revealed April 2 positioned strong openers favorably; results from tonight's Vienna show at Wiener Stadthalle will confirm the 10 grand final qualifiers, who drew halves post-announcement, with the second semi-final Thursday and final Saturday.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$1,064,557
Date de fin
12 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Résultat proposé: Oui

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Eurovision 2026 : Première demi-finale » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 15 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Israël » à 100%, suivi de « Belgique » à 100%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Eurovision 2026 : Première demi-finale » a généré $1.1 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 16, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Eurovision 2026 : Première demi-finale », parcourez les 15 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Eurovision 2026 : Première demi-finale » est « Israël » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Belgique » à 100%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Eurovision 2026 : Première demi-finale » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.