Mercedes' Kimi Antonelli holds a slim trader consensus edge at 41.5% implied probability for F1 Action of the Year after back-to-back victories in China and Japan, highlighted by bold recoveries from P7 to P2 in Australia and P6 to the win at Suzuka despite a poor start, amplified by consecutive poles amid the 2026 regs' overtake surge. Tight competition persists with Valtteri Bottas (39.5%) demonstrating resilience for newcomer Cadillac through double finishes post-contact in early Grands Prix; Esteban Ocon (38.9%) and Haas teammate-leading overtakes in intense midfield battles; and Nico Hulkenberg (38.5%) excelling in wheel-to-wheel scraps at Sauber-Audi. New energy management and cars enabling 150% more passes keep probabilities bunched within 3%, reflecting widespread exciting onboard moments from the first three rounds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourValtteri Bottas 39.2%
Nico Hulkenberg 37.3%
Kimi Antonelli 34%
Max Verstappen 25%
Valtteri Bottas
39%
Nico Hulkenberg
37%
Kimi Antonelli
48%
Max Verstappen
37%
Lance Stroll
23%
Charles Leclerc
18%
George Russell
11%
Lewis Hamilton
26%
Oscar Piastri
4%
Arvid Lindblad
2%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Lando Norris
8%
Alexander Albon
14%
Carlos Sainz
15%
Fernando Alonso
14%
Gabriel Bortoleto
14%
Oliver Bearman
15%
Isack Hadjar
14%
Liam Lawson
10%
Franco Colapinto
-
Esteban Ocon
37%
Sergio Perez
34%
Valtteri Bottas 39.2%
Nico Hulkenberg 37.3%
Kimi Antonelli 34%
Max Verstappen 25%
Valtteri Bottas
39%
Nico Hulkenberg
37%
Kimi Antonelli
48%
Max Verstappen
37%
Lance Stroll
23%
Charles Leclerc
18%
George Russell
11%
Lewis Hamilton
26%
Oscar Piastri
4%
Arvid Lindblad
2%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Lando Norris
8%
Alexander Albon
14%
Carlos Sainz
15%
Fernando Alonso
14%
Gabriel Bortoleto
14%
Oliver Bearman
15%
Isack Hadjar
14%
Liam Lawson
10%
Franco Colapinto
-
Esteban Ocon
37%
Sergio Perez
34%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 10, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Mercedes' Kimi Antonelli holds a slim trader consensus edge at 41.5% implied probability for F1 Action of the Year after back-to-back victories in China and Japan, highlighted by bold recoveries from P7 to P2 in Australia and P6 to the win at Suzuka despite a poor start, amplified by consecutive poles amid the 2026 regs' overtake surge. Tight competition persists with Valtteri Bottas (39.5%) demonstrating resilience for newcomer Cadillac through double finishes post-contact in early Grands Prix; Esteban Ocon (38.9%) and Haas teammate-leading overtakes in intense midfield battles; and Nico Hulkenberg (38.5%) excelling in wheel-to-wheel scraps at Sauber-Audi. New energy management and cars enabling 150% more passes keep probabilities bunched within 3%, reflecting widespread exciting onboard moments from the first three rounds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes