Mercedes holds a commanding 76% implied probability in the F1 Constructors' Championship market after surging to 135 points through early 2026 races, driven by superior power unit performance and mastery of the new active aero regulations that reward precise energy management. Kimi Antonelli and George Russell's one-two finish at the Australian Grand Prix, followed by strong China results, have built a 45-point lead over Ferrari, whose Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton remain competitive but lack Mercedes' outright pace on high-speed tracks. McLaren trails at 46 points with solid but inconsistent form, while Red Bull languishes sixth on 16 points amid car balance woes and development missteps from 2025, slashing their title hopes to 1.9%. Trader consensus prices in Mercedes' early dominance under the redesigned 2026 chassis and sustainable fuel era, though 21 races remain for potential convergence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMercedes 76%
Ferrari 12%
McLaren 7.2%
Red Bull Racing 1.9%
$13,861,725 Vol.
$13,861,725 Vol.
6 déc. 2026
Mercedes
76%
Ferrari
12%
McLaren
7%
Red Bull Racing
2%
Aston Martin
1%
Audi
1%
Cadillac
1%
Williams
<1%
Racing Bulls
<1%
Haas
<1%
Alpine
<1%
Mercedes 76%
Ferrari 12%
McLaren 7.2%
Red Bull Racing 1.9%
$13,861,725 Vol.
$13,861,725 Vol.
6 déc. 2026
Mercedes
$548,388 Vol.
76%
Ferrari
$280,965 Vol.
12%
McLaren
$1,334,550 Vol.
7%
Red Bull Racing
$483,414 Vol.
2%
Aston Martin
$1,615,530 Vol.
1%
Audi
$1,547,581 Vol.
1%
Cadillac
$1,303,263 Vol.
1%
Williams
$1,846,822 Vol.
<1%
Racing Bulls
$1,533,711 Vol.
<1%
Haas
$1,672,500 Vol.
<1%
Alpine
$1,695,000 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds a commanding 76% implied probability in the F1 Constructors' Championship market after surging to 135 points through early 2026 races, driven by superior power unit performance and mastery of the new active aero regulations that reward precise energy management. Kimi Antonelli and George Russell's one-two finish at the Australian Grand Prix, followed by strong China results, have built a 45-point lead over Ferrari, whose Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton remain competitive but lack Mercedes' outright pace on high-speed tracks. McLaren trails at 46 points with solid but inconsistent form, while Red Bull languishes sixth on 16 points amid car balance woes and development missteps from 2025, slashing their title hopes to 1.9%. Trader consensus prices in Mercedes' early dominance under the redesigned 2026 chassis and sustainable fuel era, though 21 races remain for potential convergence.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Marché ouvert : Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Volume
$13,861,725Date de fin
6 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds a commanding 76% implied probability in the F1 Constructors' Championship market after surging to 135 points through early 2026 races, driven by superior power unit performance and mastery of the new active aero regulations that reward precise energy management. Kimi Antonelli and George Russell's one-two finish at the Australian Grand Prix, followed by strong China results, have built a 45-point lead over Ferrari, whose Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton remain competitive but lack Mercedes' outright pace on high-speed tracks. McLaren trails at 46 points with solid but inconsistent form, while Red Bull languishes sixth on 16 points amid car balance woes and development missteps from 2025, slashing their title hopes to 1.9%. Trader consensus prices in Mercedes' early dominance under the redesigned 2026 chassis and sustainable fuel era, though 21 races remain for potential convergence.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Volume
$13,861,725Date de fin
6 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds a commanding 76% implied probability in the F1 Constructors' Championship market after surging to 135 points through early 2026 races, driven by superior power unit performance and mastery of the new active aero regulations that reward precise energy management. Kimi Antonelli and George Russell's one-two finish at the Australian Grand Prix, followed by strong China results, have built a 45-point lead over Ferrari, whose Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton remain competitive but lack Mercedes' outright pace on high-speed tracks. McLaren trails at 46 points with solid but inconsistent form, while Red Bull languishes sixth on 16 points amid car balance woes and development missteps from 2025, slashing their title hopes to 1.9%. Trader consensus prices in Mercedes' early dominance under the redesigned 2026 chassis and sustainable fuel era, though 21 races remain for potential convergence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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