Mercedes' commanding 135-point lead in the Constructors' Championship after six Grands Prix, including a dominant 1-2 at Suzuka with Kimi Antonelli's win and George Russell's follow-up, drives trader consensus at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting superior pace, reliability, and adaptation to 2026 power unit regulations that have left rivals trailing. Ferrari sits second at 90 points with consistent podiums from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton, justifying their 11.5% share amid head-to-head competitiveness, while McLaren's 46 points underpin 7.3% odds despite fading momentum. Red Bull's chassis balance issues cap them at 1.9%, with skin-in-the-game traders pricing in Mercedes' edge despite looming Miami upgrades and Toto Wolff's push for engine development freezes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMercedes 77%
Ferrari 12%
McLaren 7.3%
Red Bull Racing 1.9%
$13,779,679 Vol.
$13,779,679 Vol.
6 déc. 2026
Mercedes
77%
Ferrari
12%
McLaren
7%
Red Bull Racing
2%
Aston Martin
1%
Audi
1%
Cadillac
1%
Williams
<1%
Racing Bulls
<1%
Haas
<1%
Alpine
<1%
Mercedes 77%
Ferrari 12%
McLaren 7.3%
Red Bull Racing 1.9%
$13,779,679 Vol.
$13,779,679 Vol.
6 déc. 2026
Mercedes
$548,213 Vol.
77%
Ferrari
$280,711 Vol.
12%
McLaren
$1,332,867 Vol.
7%
Red Bull Racing
$483,406 Vol.
2%
Aston Martin
$1,615,522 Vol.
1%
Audi
$1,547,573 Vol.
1%
Cadillac
$1,295,171 Vol.
1%
Williams
$1,828,880 Vol.
<1%
Racing Bulls
$1,515,859 Vol.
<1%
Haas
$1,654,624 Vol.
<1%
Alpine
$1,676,853 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes' commanding 135-point lead in the Constructors' Championship after six Grands Prix, including a dominant 1-2 at Suzuka with Kimi Antonelli's win and George Russell's follow-up, drives trader consensus at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting superior pace, reliability, and adaptation to 2026 power unit regulations that have left rivals trailing. Ferrari sits second at 90 points with consistent podiums from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton, justifying their 11.5% share amid head-to-head competitiveness, while McLaren's 46 points underpin 7.3% odds despite fading momentum. Red Bull's chassis balance issues cap them at 1.9%, with skin-in-the-game traders pricing in Mercedes' edge despite looming Miami upgrades and Toto Wolff's push for engine development freezes.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Marché ouvert : Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Volume
$13,779,679Date de fin
6 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes' commanding 135-point lead in the Constructors' Championship after six Grands Prix, including a dominant 1-2 at Suzuka with Kimi Antonelli's win and George Russell's follow-up, drives trader consensus at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting superior pace, reliability, and adaptation to 2026 power unit regulations that have left rivals trailing. Ferrari sits second at 90 points with consistent podiums from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton, justifying their 11.5% share amid head-to-head competitiveness, while McLaren's 46 points underpin 7.3% odds despite fading momentum. Red Bull's chassis balance issues cap them at 1.9%, with skin-in-the-game traders pricing in Mercedes' edge despite looming Miami upgrades and Toto Wolff's push for engine development freezes.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Volume
$13,779,679Date de fin
6 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes' commanding 135-point lead in the Constructors' Championship after six Grands Prix, including a dominant 1-2 at Suzuka with Kimi Antonelli's win and George Russell's follow-up, drives trader consensus at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting superior pace, reliability, and adaptation to 2026 power unit regulations that have left rivals trailing. Ferrari sits second at 90 points with consistent podiums from Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton, justifying their 11.5% share amid head-to-head competitiveness, while McLaren's 46 points underpin 7.3% odds despite fading momentum. Red Bull's chassis balance issues cap them at 1.9%, with skin-in-the-game traders pricing in Mercedes' edge despite looming Miami upgrades and Toto Wolff's push for engine development freezes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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