Mercedes leads the 2026 Formula 1 constructors' championship by a wide margin after early-season results, powered by its strong interpretation of the new power unit regulations and effective integration with active aero and hybrid systems. The Silver Arrows' drivers have delivered consistent podiums and wins across recent Grands Prix, outpacing rivals in both qualifying and race pace while McLaren and Ferrari trail due to grip and exploitation challenges. This performance under the revised technical rules has shaped trader consensus around an 88% implied probability. Late reliability problems, accelerated development from competitors, or unexpected mechanical failures remain the primary factors that could still narrow the gap before the season concludes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMercedes 88%
Ferrari 4.5%
McLaren 2.7%
Red Bull Racing 1.1%
$23,529,779 Vol.
$23,529,779 Vol.
6 déc. 2026
Mercedes
88%
Ferrari
5%
McLaren
3%
Red Bull Racing
1%
Aston Martin
1%
Audi
1%
Haas
1%
Alpine
1%
Williams
<1%
Cadillac
<1%
Racing Bulls
<1%
Mercedes 88%
Ferrari 4.5%
McLaren 2.7%
Red Bull Racing 1.1%
$23,529,779 Vol.
$23,529,779 Vol.
6 déc. 2026
Mercedes
$756,202 Vol.
88%
Ferrari
$448,903 Vol.
5%
McLaren
$1,552,771 Vol.
3%
Red Bull Racing
$662,801 Vol.
1%
Aston Martin
$2,674,358 Vol.
1%
Audi
$2,697,077 Vol.
1%
Haas
$2,867,308 Vol.
1%
Alpine
$2,919,846 Vol.
1%
Williams
$3,179,177 Vol.
<1%
Cadillac
$3,166,589 Vol.
<1%
Racing Bulls
$2,610,510 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes leads the 2026 Formula 1 constructors' championship by a wide margin after early-season results, powered by its strong interpretation of the new power unit regulations and effective integration with active aero and hybrid systems. The Silver Arrows' drivers have delivered consistent podiums and wins across recent Grands Prix, outpacing rivals in both qualifying and race pace while McLaren and Ferrari trail due to grip and exploitation challenges. This performance under the revised technical rules has shaped trader consensus around an 88% implied probability. Late reliability problems, accelerated development from competitors, or unexpected mechanical failures remain the primary factors that could still narrow the gap before the season concludes.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Marché ouvert : Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Volume
$23,529,779Date de fin
6 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes leads the 2026 Formula 1 constructors' championship by a wide margin after early-season results, powered by its strong interpretation of the new power unit regulations and effective integration with active aero and hybrid systems. The Silver Arrows' drivers have delivered consistent podiums and wins across recent Grands Prix, outpacing rivals in both qualifying and race pace while McLaren and Ferrari trail due to grip and exploitation challenges. This performance under the revised technical rules has shaped trader consensus around an 88% implied probability. Late reliability problems, accelerated development from competitors, or unexpected mechanical failures remain the primary factors that could still narrow the gap before the season concludes.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Volume
$23,529,779Date de fin
6 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes leads the 2026 Formula 1 constructors' championship by a wide margin after early-season results, powered by its strong interpretation of the new power unit regulations and effective integration with active aero and hybrid systems. The Silver Arrows' drivers have delivered consistent podiums and wins across recent Grands Prix, outpacing rivals in both qualifying and race pace while McLaren and Ferrari trail due to grip and exploitation challenges. This performance under the revised technical rules has shaped trader consensus around an 88% implied probability. Late reliability problems, accelerated development from competitors, or unexpected mechanical failures remain the primary factors that could still narrow the gap before the season concludes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes