Kimi Antonelli leads trader consensus in the F1 Action of the Year market at 51% implied probability, driven by his breakout 2026 rookie campaign with Mercedes that includes multiple consecutive Grand Prix victories, an early championship lead, and a dramatic late-race mechanical DNF at the Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix after an overtake on teammate George Russell. This high-visibility setback, which handed victory to Lewis Hamilton, amplified attention around the young Italian’s season-long form and reliability issues under the new regulations. Nico Hulkenberg sits second at 34.4% on consistent midfield performances and veteran standout moments, while Arvid Lindblad at 28.3% reflects junior driver hype and potential breakthrough laps. Lower probabilities for drivers like Alexander Albon and Charles Leclerc track fewer headline-grabbing incidents relative to Antonelli’s dominant narrative. Market pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds weighting recent on-track drama and season momentum over historical benchmarks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourKimi Antonelli 55%
Charles Leclerc 17%
Arvid Lindblad 8%
Lewis Hamilton 7%
$164,762 Vol.
$164,762 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
55%
Charles Leclerc
17%
Arvid Lindblad
8%
Lewis Hamilton
7%
Lando Norris
3%
Carlos Sainz
3%
Max Verstappen
3%
George Russell
3%
Liam Lawson
2%
Fernando Alonso
2%
Nico Hulkenberg
2%
Oscar Piastri
2%
Alexander Albon
1%
Pierre Gasly
1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Oliver Bearman
1%
Isack Hadjar
1%
Esteban Ocon
1%
Lance Stroll
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Kimi Antonelli 55%
Charles Leclerc 17%
Arvid Lindblad 8%
Lewis Hamilton 7%
$164,762 Vol.
$164,762 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
55%
Charles Leclerc
17%
Arvid Lindblad
8%
Lewis Hamilton
7%
Lando Norris
3%
Carlos Sainz
3%
Max Verstappen
3%
George Russell
3%
Liam Lawson
2%
Fernando Alonso
2%
Nico Hulkenberg
2%
Oscar Piastri
2%
Alexander Albon
1%
Pierre Gasly
1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Oliver Bearman
1%
Isack Hadjar
1%
Esteban Ocon
1%
Lance Stroll
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 10, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kimi Antonelli leads trader consensus in the F1 Action of the Year market at 51% implied probability, driven by his breakout 2026 rookie campaign with Mercedes that includes multiple consecutive Grand Prix victories, an early championship lead, and a dramatic late-race mechanical DNF at the Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix after an overtake on teammate George Russell. This high-visibility setback, which handed victory to Lewis Hamilton, amplified attention around the young Italian’s season-long form and reliability issues under the new regulations. Nico Hulkenberg sits second at 34.4% on consistent midfield performances and veteran standout moments, while Arvid Lindblad at 28.3% reflects junior driver hype and potential breakthrough laps. Lower probabilities for drivers like Alexander Albon and Charles Leclerc track fewer headline-grabbing incidents relative to Antonelli’s dominant narrative. Market pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds weighting recent on-track drama and season momentum over historical benchmarks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes