Kimi Antonelli's commanding qualifying pace and Mercedes' clear advantage on Zandvoort's flowing, high-speed layout underpin the market's strong lean toward a 10-15 second winning margin. The circuit's limited overtaking zones and banking-heavy corners have historically rewarded polesitters who convert front-row starts into controlled races, with recent form showing Antonelli leading the field in raw speed. Traders appear to price in a clean getaway and strategic execution that opens a gap before mid-race traffic or tire management becomes decisive. Potential disruptors include rain forecasts that could trigger safety cars and compress the field, aggressive moves from Lando Norris or George Russell in the McLaren and Mercedes teammates, or unexpected Red Bull upgrades allowing Max Verstappen to close late in the stint.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour10-15s 100.0%
<5s <1%
5-10s <1%
15-20s <1%
$941 Vol.
$941 Vol.
30 août 2026
<5s
No
5-10s
No
10-15s
Yes
15-20s
No
20-25s
No
>25s
No
Other
No
10-15s 100.0%
<5s <1%
5-10s <1%
15-20s <1%
$941 Vol.
$941 Vol.
30 août 2026
<5s
$108 Vol.
No
5-10s
$84 Vol.
No
10-15s
$414 Vol.
Yes
15-20s
$169 Vol.
No
20-25s
$52 Vol.
No
>25s
$58 Vol.
No
Other
$55 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the winning margin of the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix, scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, is less than 5.000 seconds. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The winning margin will be the official time gap between the driver classified first and the driver classified second in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution.
Each bracket includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound: "<5s" covers margins under 5.000 seconds, "5-10s" covers margins from 5.000 (inclusive) to 10.000 (exclusive) seconds, "10-15s" covers 10.000 to 15.000 seconds, "15-20s" covers 15.000 to 20.000 seconds, "20-25s" covers 20.000 to 25.000 seconds, and ">25s" covers margins of 25.000 seconds or greater. For example, a winning margin of exactly 10.000 seconds resolves to "10-15s", and a margin of exactly 25.000 seconds resolves to ">25s". If the driver classified second finishes one or more laps behind the winner, or fewer than two drivers are classified, this market will resolve to ">25s".
If the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Aug 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the winning margin of the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix, scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, is 5.000 seconds (inclusive) up to 10.000 seconds (exclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The winning margin will be the official time gap between the driver classified first and the driver classified second in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution.
Each bracket includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound: "<5s" covers margins under 5.000 seconds, "5-10s" covers margins from 5.000 (inclusive) to 10.000 (exclusive) seconds, "10-15s" covers 10.000 to 15.000 seconds, "15-20s" covers 15.000 to 20.000 seconds, "20-25s" covers 20.000 to 25.000 seconds, and ">25s" covers margins of 25.000 seconds or greater. For example, a winning margin of exactly 10.000 seconds resolves to "10-15s", and a margin of exactly 25.000 seconds resolves to ">25s". If the driver classified second finishes one or more laps behind the winner, or fewer than two drivers are classified, this market will resolve to ">25s".
If the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Aug 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the winning margin of the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix, scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, is 10.000 seconds (inclusive) up to 15.000 seconds (exclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The winning margin will be the official time gap between the driver classified first and the driver classified second in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution.
Each bracket includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound: "<5s" covers margins under 5.000 seconds, "5-10s" covers margins from 5.000 (inclusive) to 10.000 (exclusive) seconds, "10-15s" covers 10.000 to 15.000 seconds, "15-20s" covers 15.000 to 20.000 seconds, "20-25s" covers 20.000 to 25.000 seconds, and ">25s" covers margins of 25.000 seconds or greater. For example, a winning margin of exactly 10.000 seconds resolves to "10-15s", and a margin of exactly 25.000 seconds resolves to ">25s". If the driver classified second finishes one or more laps behind the winner, or fewer than two drivers are classified, this market will resolve to ">25s".
If the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Aug 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the winning margin of the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix, scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, is 15.000 seconds (inclusive) up to 20.000 seconds (exclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The winning margin will be the official time gap between the driver classified first and the driver classified second in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution.
Each bracket includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound: "<5s" covers margins under 5.000 seconds, "5-10s" covers margins from 5.000 (inclusive) to 10.000 (exclusive) seconds, "10-15s" covers 10.000 to 15.000 seconds, "15-20s" covers 15.000 to 20.000 seconds, "20-25s" covers 20.000 to 25.000 seconds, and ">25s" covers margins of 25.000 seconds or greater. For example, a winning margin of exactly 10.000 seconds resolves to "10-15s", and a margin of exactly 25.000 seconds resolves to ">25s". If the driver classified second finishes one or more laps behind the winner, or fewer than two drivers are classified, this market will resolve to ">25s".
If the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Aug 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the winning margin of the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix, scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, is 20.000 seconds (inclusive) up to 25.000 seconds (exclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The winning margin will be the official time gap between the driver classified first and the driver classified second in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution.
Each bracket includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound: "<5s" covers margins under 5.000 seconds, "5-10s" covers margins from 5.000 (inclusive) to 10.000 (exclusive) seconds, "10-15s" covers 10.000 to 15.000 seconds, "15-20s" covers 15.000 to 20.000 seconds, "20-25s" covers 20.000 to 25.000 seconds, and ">25s" covers margins of 25.000 seconds or greater. For example, a winning margin of exactly 10.000 seconds resolves to "10-15s", and a margin of exactly 25.000 seconds resolves to ">25s". If the driver classified second finishes one or more laps behind the winner, or fewer than two drivers are classified, this market will resolve to ">25s".
If the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Aug 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the winning margin of the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix, scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, is 25.000 seconds or greater (including if the driver classified second finishes one or more laps behind the winner, or fewer than two drivers are classified). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The winning margin will be the official time gap between the driver classified first and the driver classified second in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution.
Each bracket includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound: "<5s" covers margins under 5.000 seconds, "5-10s" covers margins from 5.000 (inclusive) to 10.000 (exclusive) seconds, "10-15s" covers 10.000 to 15.000 seconds, "15-20s" covers 15.000 to 20.000 seconds, "20-25s" covers 20.000 to 25.000 seconds, and ">25s" covers margins of 25.000 seconds or greater. For example, a winning margin of exactly 10.000 seconds resolves to "10-15s", and a margin of exactly 25.000 seconds resolves to ">25s". If the driver classified second finishes one or more laps behind the winner, or fewer than two drivers are classified, this market will resolve to ">25s".
If the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Aug 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Aug 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Kimi Antonelli's commanding qualifying pace and Mercedes' clear advantage on Zandvoort's flowing, high-speed layout underpin the market's strong lean toward a 10-15 second winning margin. The circuit's limited overtaking zones and banking-heavy corners have historically rewarded polesitters who convert front-row starts into controlled races, with recent form showing Antonelli leading the field in raw speed. Traders appear to price in a clean getaway and strategic execution that opens a gap before mid-race traffic or tire management becomes decisive. Potential disruptors include rain forecasts that could trigger safety cars and compress the field, aggressive moves from Lando Norris or George Russell in the McLaren and Mercedes teammates, or unexpected Red Bull upgrades allowing Max Verstappen to close late in the stint.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the winning margin of the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix, scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, is less than 5.000 seconds. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The winning margin will be the official time gap between the driver classified first and the driver classified second in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution.
Each bracket includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound: "<5s" covers margins under 5.000 seconds, "5-10s" covers margins from 5.000 (inclusive) to 10.000 (exclusive) seconds, "10-15s" covers 10.000 to 15.000 seconds, "15-20s" covers 15.000 to 20.000 seconds, "20-25s" covers 20.000 to 25.000 seconds, and ">25s" covers margins of 25.000 seconds or greater. For example, a winning margin of exactly 10.000 seconds resolves to "10-15s", and a margin of exactly 25.000 seconds resolves to ">25s". If the driver classified second finishes one or more laps behind the winner, or fewer than two drivers are classified, this market will resolve to ">25s".
If the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Aug 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
The winning margin will be the official time gap between the driver classified first and the driver classified second in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution.
Each bracket includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound: "<5s" covers margins under 5.000 seconds, "5-10s" covers margins from 5.000 (inclusive) to 10.000 (exclusive) seconds, "10-15s" covers 10.000 to 15.000 seconds, "15-20s" covers 15.000 to 20.000 seconds, "20-25s" covers 20.000 to 25.000 seconds, and ">25s" covers margins of 25.000 seconds or greater. For example, a winning margin of exactly 10.000 seconds resolves to "10-15s", and a margin of exactly 25.000 seconds resolves to ">25s". If the driver classified second finishes one or more laps behind the winner, or fewer than two drivers are classified, this market will resolve to ">25s".
If the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Aug 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 5:44 PM ET
Volume
$941Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 5:44 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the winning margin of the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix, scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, is less than 5.000 seconds. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The winning margin will be the official time gap between the driver classified first and the driver classified second in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution.
Each bracket includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound: "<5s" covers margins under 5.000 seconds, "5-10s" covers margins from 5.000 (inclusive) to 10.000 (exclusive) seconds, "10-15s" covers 10.000 to 15.000 seconds, "15-20s" covers 15.000 to 20.000 seconds, "20-25s" covers 20.000 to 25.000 seconds, and ">25s" covers margins of 25.000 seconds or greater. For example, a winning margin of exactly 10.000 seconds resolves to "10-15s", and a margin of exactly 25.000 seconds resolves to ">25s". If the driver classified second finishes one or more laps behind the winner, or fewer than two drivers are classified, this market will resolve to ">25s".
If the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Aug 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the winning margin of the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix, scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, is 5.000 seconds (inclusive) up to 10.000 seconds (exclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The winning margin will be the official time gap between the driver classified first and the driver classified second in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution.
Each bracket includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound: "<5s" covers margins under 5.000 seconds, "5-10s" covers margins from 5.000 (inclusive) to 10.000 (exclusive) seconds, "10-15s" covers 10.000 to 15.000 seconds, "15-20s" covers 15.000 to 20.000 seconds, "20-25s" covers 20.000 to 25.000 seconds, and ">25s" covers margins of 25.000 seconds or greater. For example, a winning margin of exactly 10.000 seconds resolves to "10-15s", and a margin of exactly 25.000 seconds resolves to ">25s". If the driver classified second finishes one or more laps behind the winner, or fewer than two drivers are classified, this market will resolve to ">25s".
If the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Aug 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the winning margin of the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix, scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, is 10.000 seconds (inclusive) up to 15.000 seconds (exclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The winning margin will be the official time gap between the driver classified first and the driver classified second in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution.
Each bracket includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound: "<5s" covers margins under 5.000 seconds, "5-10s" covers margins from 5.000 (inclusive) to 10.000 (exclusive) seconds, "10-15s" covers 10.000 to 15.000 seconds, "15-20s" covers 15.000 to 20.000 seconds, "20-25s" covers 20.000 to 25.000 seconds, and ">25s" covers margins of 25.000 seconds or greater. For example, a winning margin of exactly 10.000 seconds resolves to "10-15s", and a margin of exactly 25.000 seconds resolves to ">25s". If the driver classified second finishes one or more laps behind the winner, or fewer than two drivers are classified, this market will resolve to ">25s".
If the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Aug 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the winning margin of the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix, scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, is 15.000 seconds (inclusive) up to 20.000 seconds (exclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The winning margin will be the official time gap between the driver classified first and the driver classified second in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution.
Each bracket includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound: "<5s" covers margins under 5.000 seconds, "5-10s" covers margins from 5.000 (inclusive) to 10.000 (exclusive) seconds, "10-15s" covers 10.000 to 15.000 seconds, "15-20s" covers 15.000 to 20.000 seconds, "20-25s" covers 20.000 to 25.000 seconds, and ">25s" covers margins of 25.000 seconds or greater. For example, a winning margin of exactly 10.000 seconds resolves to "10-15s", and a margin of exactly 25.000 seconds resolves to ">25s". If the driver classified second finishes one or more laps behind the winner, or fewer than two drivers are classified, this market will resolve to ">25s".
If the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Aug 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the winning margin of the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix, scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, is 20.000 seconds (inclusive) up to 25.000 seconds (exclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The winning margin will be the official time gap between the driver classified first and the driver classified second in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution.
Each bracket includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound: "<5s" covers margins under 5.000 seconds, "5-10s" covers margins from 5.000 (inclusive) to 10.000 (exclusive) seconds, "10-15s" covers 10.000 to 15.000 seconds, "15-20s" covers 15.000 to 20.000 seconds, "20-25s" covers 20.000 to 25.000 seconds, and ">25s" covers margins of 25.000 seconds or greater. For example, a winning margin of exactly 10.000 seconds resolves to "10-15s", and a margin of exactly 25.000 seconds resolves to ">25s". If the driver classified second finishes one or more laps behind the winner, or fewer than two drivers are classified, this market will resolve to ">25s".
If the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Aug 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the winning margin of the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix, scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, is 25.000 seconds or greater (including if the driver classified second finishes one or more laps behind the winner, or fewer than two drivers are classified). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The winning margin will be the official time gap between the driver classified first and the driver classified second in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution.
Each bracket includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound: "<5s" covers margins under 5.000 seconds, "5-10s" covers margins from 5.000 (inclusive) to 10.000 (exclusive) seconds, "10-15s" covers 10.000 to 15.000 seconds, "15-20s" covers 15.000 to 20.000 seconds, "20-25s" covers 20.000 to 25.000 seconds, and ">25s" covers margins of 25.000 seconds or greater. For example, a winning margin of exactly 10.000 seconds resolves to "10-15s", and a margin of exactly 25.000 seconds resolves to ">25s". If the driver classified second finishes one or more laps behind the winner, or fewer than two drivers are classified, this market will resolve to ">25s".
If the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Aug 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Aug 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Kimi Antonelli's commanding qualifying pace and Mercedes' clear advantage on Zandvoort's flowing, high-speed layout underpin the market's strong lean toward a 10-15 second winning margin. The circuit's limited overtaking zones and banking-heavy corners have historically rewarded polesitters who convert front-row starts into controlled races, with recent form showing Antonelli leading the field in raw speed. Traders appear to price in a clean getaway and strategic execution that opens a gap before mid-race traffic or tire management becomes decisive. Potential disruptors include rain forecasts that could trigger safety cars and compress the field, aggressive moves from Lando Norris or George Russell in the McLaren and Mercedes teammates, or unexpected Red Bull upgrades allowing Max Verstappen to close late in the stint.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the winning margin of the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix, scheduled for Aug 23, 2026, is less than 5.000 seconds. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The winning margin will be the official time gap between the driver classified first and the driver classified second in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution.
Each bracket includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound: "<5s" covers margins under 5.000 seconds, "5-10s" covers margins from 5.000 (inclusive) to 10.000 (exclusive) seconds, "10-15s" covers 10.000 to 15.000 seconds, "15-20s" covers 15.000 to 20.000 seconds, "20-25s" covers 20.000 to 25.000 seconds, and ">25s" covers margins of 25.000 seconds or greater. For example, a winning margin of exactly 10.000 seconds resolves to "10-15s", and a margin of exactly 25.000 seconds resolves to ">25s". If the driver classified second finishes one or more laps behind the winner, or fewer than two drivers are classified, this market will resolve to ">25s".
If the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Aug 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
The winning margin will be the official time gap between the driver classified first and the driver classified second in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution.
Each bracket includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound: "<5s" covers margins under 5.000 seconds, "5-10s" covers margins from 5.000 (inclusive) to 10.000 (exclusive) seconds, "10-15s" covers 10.000 to 15.000 seconds, "15-20s" covers 15.000 to 20.000 seconds, "20-25s" covers 20.000 to 25.000 seconds, and ">25s" covers margins of 25.000 seconds or greater. For example, a winning margin of exactly 10.000 seconds resolves to "10-15s", and a margin of exactly 25.000 seconds resolves to ">25s". If the driver classified second finishes one or more laps behind the winner, or fewer than two drivers are classified, this market will resolve to ">25s".
If the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Aug 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$941Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 20, 2026, 5:44 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Kimi Antonelli's commanding qualifying pace and Mercedes' clear advantage on Zandvoort's flowing, high-speed layout underpin the market's strong lean toward a 10-15 second winning margin. The circuit's limited overtaking zones and banking-heavy corners have historically rewarded polesitters who convert front-row starts into controlled races, with recent form showing Antonelli leading the field in raw speed. Traders appear to price in a clean getaway and strategic execution that opens a gap before mid-race traffic or tire management becomes decisive. Potential disruptors include rain forecasts that could trigger safety cars and compress the field, aggressive moves from Lando Norris or George Russell in the McLaren and Mercedes teammates, or unexpected Red Bull upgrades allowing Max Verstappen to close late in the stint.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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