**France holds a modest edge in the 2026 FIFA World Cup semifinal against Spain, scheduled for July 14 at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, reflecting traders' view of Les Bleus' deeper squad experience and recent knockout-stage momentum.** France advanced with a 2-0 quarterfinal win over Morocco, showcasing defensive organization and contributions from Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé. Spain reached the last four via a dramatic 1-1 comeback victory against Belgium on July 10, with substitute Mikel Merino scoring late to extend their resilient run. The evenly balanced pricing—France at 41.5 percent implied probability, draw and Spain each at 29.5 percent—underscores the rivalry's intensity, stylistic contrasts between France's physicality and Spain's possession-oriented approach, and the inherent unpredictability of single-elimination matches between two title contenders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

Team to Advance
$3.4M Vol.
Moneyline
Temps réglementaire$2.7M Vol.
Écarts
Temps réglementaire$224K Vol.
Totaux
Temps réglementaire$661K Vol.
Both Teams to Score?
Temps réglementaire$268K Vol.
First Team to Score
Temps réglementaire$14.2K Vol.
France Totals
Temps réglementaire$17.7K Vol.
Spain Totals
Temps réglementaire$4.1K Vol.
Extra Time?
$23.1K Vol.
Penalty Shootout?
$3.5K Vol.
If France wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Marché ouvert : Jul 11, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...

Team to Advance
$3.4M Vol.
Moneyline
Temps réglementaire$2.7M Vol.
Écarts
Temps réglementaire$224K Vol.
Totaux
Temps réglementaire$661K Vol.
Both Teams to Score?
Temps réglementaire$268K Vol.
First Team to Score
Temps réglementaire$14.2K Vol.
France Totals
Temps réglementaire$17.7K Vol.
Spain Totals
Temps réglementaire$4.1K Vol.
Extra Time?
$23.1K Vol.
Penalty Shootout?
$3.5K Vol.
If France wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Marché ouvert : Jul 11, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...**France holds a modest edge in the 2026 FIFA World Cup semifinal against Spain, scheduled for July 14 at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, reflecting traders' view of Les Bleus' deeper squad experience and recent knockout-stage momentum.** France advanced with a 2-0 quarterfinal win over Morocco, showcasing defensive organization and contributions from Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé. Spain reached the last four via a dramatic 1-1 comeback victory against Belgium on July 10, with substitute Mikel Merino scoring late to extend their resilient run. The evenly balanced pricing—France at 41.5 percent implied probability, draw and Spain each at 29.5 percent—underscores the rivalry's intensity, stylistic contrasts between France's physicality and Spain's possession-oriented approach, and the inherent unpredictability of single-elimination matches between two title contenders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMéfiez-vous des liens externes.
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