Europe's 71.5% implied probability in the 2026 FIFA World Cup market stems from UEFA's deep pool of contenders, including Spain, France, and England, which top recent betting odds following strong qualifying campaigns and club-season form. South America's 21.5% share reflects Argentina's defending-champion status and Brazil's attacking depth from CONMEBOL qualifiers. Africa, Asia, North America, and Oceania sit at 3.3%, 2.8%, 2.4%, and 0.3% respectively, limited by fewer elite squads and recent results showing consistent gaps against European sides. With groups set and the tournament opening in June, recent roster stability and injury recoveries among top European players have reinforced this positioning in trader consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourQuel continent remportera la Coupe du monde ?
Europe 72%
Amérique du Sud 22%
Afrique 3.3%
Asie 2.8%
$2,634,188 Vol.
$2,634,188 Vol.
Europe
72%
Amérique du Sud
22%
Afrique
3%
Asie
3%
Amérique du Nord
2%
Océanie
<1%
Europe 72%
Amérique du Sud 22%
Afrique 3.3%
Asie 2.8%
$2,634,188 Vol.
$2,634,188 Vol.
Europe
72%
Amérique du Sud
22%
Afrique
3%
Asie
3%
Amérique du Nord
2%
Océanie
<1%
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Europe's 71.5% implied probability in the 2026 FIFA World Cup market stems from UEFA's deep pool of contenders, including Spain, France, and England, which top recent betting odds following strong qualifying campaigns and club-season form. South America's 21.5% share reflects Argentina's defending-champion status and Brazil's attacking depth from CONMEBOL qualifiers. Africa, Asia, North America, and Oceania sit at 3.3%, 2.8%, 2.4%, and 0.3% respectively, limited by fewer elite squads and recent results showing consistent gaps against European sides. With groups set and the tournament opening in June, recent roster stability and injury recoveries among top European players have reinforced this positioning in trader consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes