Current ensemble forecasts from European models indicate a mild summer pattern over the Netherlands, with Amsterdam's July 13 maximum most likely reaching 26–28°C due to moderate southerly advection under a weak high-pressure ridge and limited cloud cover. This aligns with climatological norms slightly above the 22–24°C July average while falling well short of heatwave thresholds. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with low spread, though minor shifts in steering flow or diurnal heating could adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders price 27°C highest at 35.5% implied probability, reflecting the consensus central tendency and reduced tail risks for extremes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 13 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 13 juillet ?
25°C 100.0%
24°C ou moins <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$49,361 Vol.
$49,361 Vol.
13 juil. 2026
24°C ou moins
Non
25°C
Oui
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
Non
34°C ou plus
Non
25°C 100.0%
24°C ou moins <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$49,361 Vol.
$49,361 Vol.
13 juil. 2026
24°C ou moins
$16,578 Vol.
Non
25°C
$9,532 Vol.
Oui
26°C
$5,113 Vol.
Non
27°C
$4,316 Vol.
Non
28°C
$6,413 Vol.
Non
29°C
$3,114 Vol.
Non
30°C
$2,152 Vol.
Non
31°C
$609 Vol.
Non
32°C
$566 Vol.
Non
33°C
$765 Vol.
Non
34°C ou plus
$203 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from European models indicate a mild summer pattern over the Netherlands, with Amsterdam's July 13 maximum most likely reaching 26–28°C due to moderate southerly advection under a weak high-pressure ridge and limited cloud cover. This aligns with climatological norms slightly above the 22–24°C July average while falling well short of heatwave thresholds. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with low spread, though minor shifts in steering flow or diurnal heating could adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders price 27°C highest at 35.5% implied probability, reflecting the consensus central tendency and reduced tail risks for extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$49,361Date de fin
13 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from European models indicate a mild summer pattern over the Netherlands, with Amsterdam's July 13 maximum most likely reaching 26–28°C due to moderate southerly advection under a weak high-pressure ridge and limited cloud cover. This aligns with climatological norms slightly above the 22–24°C July average while falling well short of heatwave thresholds. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with low spread, though minor shifts in steering flow or diurnal heating could adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders price 27°C highest at 35.5% implied probability, reflecting the consensus central tendency and reduced tail risks for extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$49,361Date de fin
13 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Current ensemble forecasts from European models indicate a mild summer pattern over the Netherlands, with Amsterdam's July 13 maximum most likely reaching 26–28°C due to moderate southerly advection under a weak high-pressure ridge and limited cloud cover. This aligns with climatological norms slightly above the 22–24°C July average while falling well short of heatwave thresholds. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with low spread, though minor shifts in steering flow or diurnal heating could adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders price 27°C highest at 35.5% implied probability, reflecting the consensus central tendency and reduced tail risks for extremes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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