Recent model consensus from global and regional ensembles places Beijing’s August 16 maximum near 30–31 °C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Mid-August climatology under a westward-extended subtropical high favors clear to partly cloudy skies and strong diurnal heating, yet residual monsoon moisture supports scattered afternoon convection that can cap temperatures through cloud shading or brief showers. Boundary-layer mixing depth and exact timing of any instability remain the key variables creating spread across 29–32 °C bins. Official resolution will use the verified 24-hour maximum from Beijing’s primary surface stations, where small forecast adjustments in the final 48 hours can readily shift probabilities within this narrow range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Pékin le 16 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Pékin le 16 août ?
30°C 37%
31°C 28%
29°C 22%
32°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
10%
29°C
22%
30°C
32%
31°C
28%
32°C
13%
33°C or higher
5%
30°C 37%
31°C 28%
29°C 22%
32°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
23°C or below
$387 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$162 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$108 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$699 Vol.
1%
27°C
$59 Vol.
3%
28°C
$29 Vol.
10%
29°C
$27 Vol.
22%
30°C
$67 Vol.
32%
31°C
$79 Vol.
28%
32°C
$35 Vol.
13%
33°C or higher
$185 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from global and regional ensembles places Beijing’s August 16 maximum near 30–31 °C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Mid-August climatology under a westward-extended subtropical high favors clear to partly cloudy skies and strong diurnal heating, yet residual monsoon moisture supports scattered afternoon convection that can cap temperatures through cloud shading or brief showers. Boundary-layer mixing depth and exact timing of any instability remain the key variables creating spread across 29–32 °C bins. Official resolution will use the verified 24-hour maximum from Beijing’s primary surface stations, where small forecast adjustments in the final 48 hours can readily shift probabilities within this narrow range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,838Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from global and regional ensembles places Beijing’s August 16 maximum near 30–31 °C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Mid-August climatology under a westward-extended subtropical high favors clear to partly cloudy skies and strong diurnal heating, yet residual monsoon moisture supports scattered afternoon convection that can cap temperatures through cloud shading or brief showers. Boundary-layer mixing depth and exact timing of any instability remain the key variables creating spread across 29–32 °C bins. Official resolution will use the verified 24-hour maximum from Beijing’s primary surface stations, where small forecast adjustments in the final 48 hours can readily shift probabilities within this narrow range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,838Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from global and regional ensembles places Beijing’s August 16 maximum near 30–31 °C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Mid-August climatology under a westward-extended subtropical high favors clear to partly cloudy skies and strong diurnal heating, yet residual monsoon moisture supports scattered afternoon convection that can cap temperatures through cloud shading or brief showers. Boundary-layer mixing depth and exact timing of any instability remain the key variables creating spread across 29–32 °C bins. Official resolution will use the verified 24-hour maximum from Beijing’s primary surface stations, where small forecast adjustments in the final 48 hours can readily shift probabilities within this narrow range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes