Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Beijing will see mostly clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and low humidity on September 11, supporting afternoon highs near 31–32°C as a warm air mass lingers. This places the market’s near-even split between 32°C (46.5%) and 31°C (39.5%) in line with minor differences in peak heating and boundary-layer mixing across ensemble runs. Historical September averages hover around 27–28°C, so current conditions represent above-normal warmth without strong synoptic forcing to push extremes higher or lower. Official China Meteorological Administration readings, which resolve the market, will incorporate localized urban effects and precise maximum timing. Traders appear to weigh the consensus central tendency while discounting low-probability outliers such as 33°C or below 30°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Pékin le 11 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Pékin le 11 septembre ?
32°C 44%
31°C 40%
33°C 8%
30°C 5%
NOUVEAU
$28,447 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$28,447 Vol.
11 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
40%
32°C
44%
33°C
8%
34°C
1%
35°C ou plus
<1%
32°C 44%
31°C 40%
33°C 8%
30°C 5%
NOUVEAU
$28,447 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$28,447 Vol.
11 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
$394 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$789 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,126 Vol.
2%
28°C
$1,252 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,323 Vol.
2%
30°C
$1,819 Vol.
5%
31°C
$8,027 Vol.
40%
32°C
$5,832 Vol.
44%
33°C
$3,988 Vol.
8%
34°C
$1,636 Vol.
1%
35°C ou plus
$1,261 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Beijing will see mostly clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and low humidity on September 11, supporting afternoon highs near 31–32°C as a warm air mass lingers. This places the market’s near-even split between 32°C (46.5%) and 31°C (39.5%) in line with minor differences in peak heating and boundary-layer mixing across ensemble runs. Historical September averages hover around 27–28°C, so current conditions represent above-normal warmth without strong synoptic forcing to push extremes higher or lower. Official China Meteorological Administration readings, which resolve the market, will incorporate localized urban effects and precise maximum timing. Traders appear to weigh the consensus central tendency while discounting low-probability outliers such as 33°C or below 30°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$28,447Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Beijing will see mostly clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and low humidity on September 11, supporting afternoon highs near 31–32°C as a warm air mass lingers. This places the market’s near-even split between 32°C (46.5%) and 31°C (39.5%) in line with minor differences in peak heating and boundary-layer mixing across ensemble runs. Historical September averages hover around 27–28°C, so current conditions represent above-normal warmth without strong synoptic forcing to push extremes higher or lower. Official China Meteorological Administration readings, which resolve the market, will incorporate localized urban effects and precise maximum timing. Traders appear to weigh the consensus central tendency while discounting low-probability outliers such as 33°C or below 30°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,447Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Beijing will see mostly clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and low humidity on September 11, supporting afternoon highs near 31–32°C as a warm air mass lingers. This places the market’s near-even split between 32°C (46.5%) and 31°C (39.5%) in line with minor differences in peak heating and boundary-layer mixing across ensemble runs. Historical September averages hover around 27–28°C, so current conditions represent above-normal warmth without strong synoptic forcing to push extremes higher or lower. Official China Meteorological Administration readings, which resolve the market, will incorporate localized urban effects and precise maximum timing. Traders appear to weigh the consensus central tendency while discounting low-probability outliers such as 33°C or below 30°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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