Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 26–28°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 18, reflecting the spread in latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs in the upper 20s amid persistent above-normal April warmth (monthly mean 20.9°C vs. climatological 18.5°C). A blocking high-pressure ridge over southern South America has suppressed cloudiness and enhanced solar heating, but uncertainty arises from potential sea breeze incursions from the Río de la Plata and variable low-level winds that could cap peaks at 26°C or allow 28–29°C under clearer skies. Historical April maxima average 22°C; upcoming SMN bulletins and 12z model runs tomorrow may refine probabilities as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 18?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 18?
27°C 30%
26°C 28%
28°C 24%
29°C 13%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
9%
25°C
12%
26°C
24%
27°C
30%
28°C
24%
29°C
13%
30°C or higher
5%
27°C 30%
26°C 28%
28°C 24%
29°C 13%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
9%
25°C
12%
26°C
24%
27°C
30%
28°C
24%
29°C
13%
30°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 26–28°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 18, reflecting the spread in latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs in the upper 20s amid persistent above-normal April warmth (monthly mean 20.9°C vs. climatological 18.5°C). A blocking high-pressure ridge over southern South America has suppressed cloudiness and enhanced solar heating, but uncertainty arises from potential sea breeze incursions from the Río de la Plata and variable low-level winds that could cap peaks at 26°C or allow 28–29°C under clearer skies. Historical April maxima average 22°C; upcoming SMN bulletins and 12z model runs tomorrow may refine probabilities as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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